{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/17684-18981-daniil-donchenko-vs-theodor-berggren","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/17684-18981-daniil-donchenko-vs-theodor-berggren","generated_at":"2026-06-27T15:12:07.812Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":536,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":17684,"name":{"full":"Daniil Donchenko","first":"Daniil","last":"Donchenko"},"record":{"wins":14,"losses":2,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":0,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":71,"reach_inches":71,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":7.15,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.57,"striking_accuracy":60},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.77,"takedown_accuracy":33,"takedown_defense":75,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":17684,"full_name":"Daniil Donchenko","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/70dd69b6a703257e","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/daniil-donchenko-profile.PNG","physical":{"height_in":71,"height_cm":180,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":71,"reach_cm":180,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"2001-08-04","age":24},"record":{"wins":14,"losses":2,"draws":0,"raw":"14-2-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":7.15,"str_acc":60,"sapm":2.57,"td_avg":0.77,"td_acc":33,"td_def":75,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":356170,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira","event_date":"2026-02-07T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mike Bell 26 - 30.Peter Adamcik 26 - 30.Sal D'amato 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6010,"full_name":"Alex Morono","first_name":"Alex","last_name":"Morono","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/alex-morono.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/alex-morono.png"}]},{"fight_id":212879,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva","event_date":"2025-09-13T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"San Antonio, Texas, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":267,"time_format":"3 Rnd + OT (5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":17683,"full_name":"Rodrigo Sezinando","first_name":"Rodrigo","last_name":"Sezinando","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/rodrigo-sezinando-profile.PNG"}]}]},"fighter2":{"id":18981,"name":{"full":"Theodor Berggren","first":"Theodor","last":"Berggren"},"record":{"wins":8,"losses":3,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":0,"losses":0,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":71,"reach_inches":75,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Switch"},"stats":{"striking":{},"grappling":{}},"profile":{"id":18981,"full_name":"Theodor Berggren","nickname":"Simba","page_nickname":"Simba","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/feef5f8f5629e5e7","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/theodor.png","physical":{"height_in":71,"height_cm":180,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":75,"reach_cm":190,"stance":"Switch","dob":"2000-04-09","age":26},"record":{"wins":8,"losses":3,"draws":0,"raw":"8-3-0"},"career_stats":{},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[]}},"ai_analysis":{"teaser":{"main_analysis":"Theodor \"Simba\" Berggren is stepping into the octagon for his UFC debut on about two weeks' notice, and he's walking straight into a buzzsaw. Daniil Donchenko just knocked out Rodrigo Sezinando in the first round back in September, then went the distance with Alex Morono in February to push his record to 14-2. The dude's riding serious momentum and told UFC.com this week he's hunting \"beautiful destruction\" in Baku. That's the kind of confidence you get when you're 2-0 in the UFC and feeling unstoppable.\n\nBerggren's got an 8-3 record and comes from Sweden's Renyi team with slick striking, but here's the thing: short notice debuts against hungry welterweights are brutal. Donchenko made weight at 170.5 pounds, Berggren at 171, so no drama there. But the fight week buzz has been all about experience versus technique. Donchenko's a switch stance fighter who can crack, and that first round finish of Sezinando showed he's got serious power when he finds his range.\n\nThe technical matchup is wild because Berggren's a switch stance guy too, so you've got two dudes who can shift looks and keep each other guessing. Donchenko's proven he can go three hard rounds when he needs to, but he's also shown he'll take your head off early if you give him an opening. Berggren's got the skills to make this interesting, but debuting on short notice in Baku against a guy talking about destruction? That's a hell of a welcome to the UFC.","key_storylines":["Berggren takes UFC debut on two weeks' notice in Baku","Donchenko riding two fight win streak, hunting knockout number two","Switch stance battle between aggressive finisher and technical striker"],"finishing_window":"Donchenko's finished fights in round one before, and if Berggren's still finding his timing early, that's when things could get scary."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Daniil Donchenko","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":7.15,"fighter2":0}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Daniil Donchenko","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":0.77,"fighter2":0}},"defense":{"advantage":"Daniil Donchenko","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":75,"fighter2":0}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/17684-daniil-donchenko","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/18981-theodor-berggren","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}