{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2538-4316-aj-dobson-vs-tafon-nchukwi","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2538-4316-aj-dobson-vs-tafon-nchukwi","generated_at":"2026-08-28T23:16:38.169Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":33264,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":2538,"name":{"full":"AJ Dobson","first":"AJ","last":"Dobson"},"record":{"wins":7,"losses":3,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":73,"reach_inches":76,"weight_lbs":185,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":4.29,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":5.31,"striking_accuracy":46},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.67,"takedown_accuracy":75,"takedown_defense":65,"submission_average":0.3}},"profile":{"id":2538,"full_name":"AJ Dobson","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/009c4420727149ea","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/aj-dobson.png","physical":{"height_in":73,"height_cm":185,"weight_lb":185,"weight_kg":83,"reach_in":76,"reach_cm":193,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1992-01-18","age":34},"record":{"wins":7,"losses":3,"draws":0,"raw":"7-3-0 (1 NC)"},"career_stats":{"slpm":4.29,"str_acc":46,"sapm":5.31,"td_avg":1.67,"td_acc":75,"td_def":65,"sub_avg":0.3},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":32974,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas","event_date":"2024-03-23T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":273,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3636,"full_name":"Edmen Shahbazyan","first_name":"Edmen","last_name":"Shahbazyan","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/edmen-shahbazyan.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/edmen-shahbazyan.png"}],"strikes_landed":20,"strikes_attempted":54,"strike_pct":37,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":75},{"fight_id":33264,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos","event_date":"2023-08-12T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Sal D'amato 28 - 29.Ron McCarthy 28 - 29.Jacob Montalvo 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4316,"full_name":"Tafon Nchukwi","first_name":"Tafon","last_name":"Nchukwi","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/tafon-nchukwi.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/tafon-nchukwi.png"}],"strikes_landed":98,"strikes_attempted":176,"strike_pct":56,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":67,"ctrl_time_sec":273},{"fight_id":33699,"event_name":"UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev","event_date":"2022-10-22T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Junichiro Kamijo 27 - 30.David Lethaby 27 - 30.Darryl Ransom 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3469,"full_name":"Armen Petrosyan","first_name":"Armen","last_name":"Petrosyan","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/armen-petrosyan.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/armen-petrosyan.png"}],"strikes_landed":64,"strikes_attempted":168,"strike_pct":38,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":49},{"fight_id":34077,"event_name":"UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2","event_date":"2022-02-12T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Houston, Texas, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Jeff Rexroad 28 - 29.Doug Crosby 28 - 29.Patrick Patlan 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6128,"full_name":"Jacob Malkoun","first_name":"Jacob","last_name":"Malkoun","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jacob-malkoun.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jacob-malkoun.png"}]}]},"fighter2":{"id":4316,"name":{"full":"Tafon Nchukwi","first":"Tafon","last":"Nchukwi"},"record":{"wins":6,"losses":4,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":2,"losses":4,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":72,"reach_inches":77,"weight_lbs":185,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":5.57,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":4.11,"striking_accuracy":52},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.76,"takedown_accuracy":57,"takedown_defense":64,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":4316,"full_name":"Tafon Nchukwi","nickname":"Da Don","page_nickname":"Da Don","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/6aae253467e8f9ce","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/tafon-nchukwi.png","physical":{"height_in":72,"height_cm":182,"weight_lb":185,"weight_kg":83,"reach_in":77,"reach_cm":195,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1994-10-14","age":31},"record":{"wins":6,"losses":4,"draws":0,"raw":"6-4-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":5.57,"str_acc":52,"sapm":4.11,"td_avg":0.76,"td_acc":57,"td_def":64,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":33264,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos","event_date":"2023-08-12T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Sal D'amato 28 - 29.Ron McCarthy 28 - 29.Jacob Montalvo 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2538,"full_name":"AJ Dobson","first_name":"AJ","last_name":"Dobson","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/aj-dobson.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/aj-dobson.png"}],"strikes_landed":59,"strikes_attempted":106,"strike_pct":56,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":33865,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot","event_date":"2022-06-25T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":75,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4968,"full_name":"Carlos Ulberg","first_name":"Carlos","last_name":"Ulberg","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/carlos-ulberg.png","hero_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ulberg.png"}],"strikes_landed":3,"strikes_attempted":4,"strike_pct":75,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":34030,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev","event_date":"2022-03-12T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Knee to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":44,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6459,"full_name":"Azamat Murzakanov","first_name":"Azamat","last_name":"Murzakanov","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/azamat-murzakanov.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/azamat-murzakanov.png"}]},{"fight_id":34269,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann","event_date":"2021-09-18T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Chris Flores 27 - 30.Derek Cleary 27 - 30.Eric Colon 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2913,"full_name":"Mike Rodriguez","first_name":"Mike","last_name":"Rodriguez","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/mike-rodriguez.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/mike-rodriguez.png"}]},{"fight_id":34449,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson","event_date":"2021-05-08T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Majority","details":"Ron McCarthy 25 - 30.Sal D'amato 26 - 29.Tony Weeks 28 - 28.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3196,"full_name":"JunYong Park","first_name":"JunYong","last_name":"Park","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/junyong-park-profile.PNG","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/junyong-park.png"}],"strikes_landed":64,"strikes_attempted":144,"strike_pct":44,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":2,"td_pct":50,"ctrl_time_sec":34}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Tafon Nchukwi","difference":"29.8%","values":{"fighter1":4.29,"fighter2":5.57}},"grappling":{"advantage":"AJ Dobson","difference":"119.7%","values":{"fighter1":1.67,"fighter2":0.76}},"defense":{"advantage":"AJ Dobson","difference":"1.6%","values":{"fighter1":65,"fighter2":64}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/2538-aj-dobson","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4316-tafon-nchukwi","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}