{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2549-5548-gabriel-bonfim-vs-belal-muhammad","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2549-5548-gabriel-bonfim-vs-belal-muhammad","generated_at":"2026-04-28T07:24:13.091Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":377,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":2549,"name":{"full":"Gabriel Bonfim","first":"Gabriel","last":"Bonfim"},"record":{"wins":19,"losses":1,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":3,"winsByDec":2,"losses":1,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":73,"reach_inches":72,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":4.61,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.68,"striking_accuracy":46},"grappling":{"takedown_average":3.6,"takedown_accuracy":55,"takedown_defense":76,"submission_average":1.4}},"profile":{"id":2549,"full_name":"Gabriel Bonfim","nickname":"Marretinha","page_nickname":"Marretinha","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/01641ba5df0c69b0","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/gabriel-bonfim.png","physical":{"height_in":73,"height_cm":185,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":72,"reach_cm":182,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1997-08-20","age":28},"record":{"wins":19,"losses":1,"draws":0,"raw":"19-1-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":4.61,"str_acc":46,"sapm":3.68,"td_avg":3.6,"td_acc":55,"td_def":76,"sub_avg":1.4},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":288319,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown","event_date":"2025-11-08T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Knee to Head In Clinch","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":100,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5881,"full_name":"Randy Brown","first_name":"Randy","last_name":"Brown","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/randy-brown.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/randy-brown.png"}],"strikes_landed":35,"strikes_attempted":64,"strike_pct":55,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":146516,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira","event_date":"2025-07-12T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Nashville, Tennessee, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - 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Belal Muhammad, the former champ who just dropped back to back decisions to Jack Della Maddalena and Ian Garry, needs this win badly. Meanwhile, Gabriel Bonfim is riding a crazy hot streak with three straight finishes, including that nasty knee that put Randy Brown to sleep in November and a slick D'Arce choke over Khaos Williams. The Brazilian's been tearing through the division while Belal's been trying to figure out what went wrong.\n\nHere's the thing though. Belal's losses weren't him getting finished or dominated. He went five rounds with Della Maddalena for the belt and three with Garry, both times losing decisions. Before that rough stretch, he beat Leon Edwards to win the title and grinded out Gilbert Burns over five rounds. That's championship level experience against elite competition. Bonfim's wins are impressive as hell, but he's never faced anyone close to Belal's caliber. That split decision over Stephen Thompson showed he can be tested.\n\nThe matchup is fascinating because Bonfim's a finisher who loves getting aggressive, while Belal's the ultimate grinder who breaks you down with pressure and volume. Bonfim showed slick grappling against Williams and can crack standing, but Belal's fought the absolute best welterweights on the planet. This feels like a prove it moment for both guys. Belal needs to show he's still elite, and Bonfim needs to prove he belongs in that top tier conversation.\n\nUPD (5th of April): Belal recently revealed that a RAF match with Dillon Danis was actually in the works during a YouTube stream, showing he's staying active and exploring opportunities outside traditional MMA while preparing for this crucial comeback fight.\n\nUPD (5th of April): The former champ also voiced frustration about real fans not being able to attend certain UFC events, calling the situation unfair and highlighting his connection to the fanbase as he looks to bounce back from those two straight losses.","key_storylines":["Former champ Belal looking to stop two fight skid","Bonfim riding three straight finishes into biggest test","Experience versus momentum in welterweight clash"],"finishing_window":"Bonfim's dangerous early with those explosive finishes, but if Belal survives the first two rounds, his pace and pressure could take over late."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Gabriel Bonfim","difference":"4.1%","values":{"fighter1":4.61,"fighter2":4.43}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Gabriel Bonfim","difference":"68.2%","values":{"fighter1":3.6,"fighter2":2.14}},"defense":{"advantage":"Belal Muhammad","difference":"18.4%","values":{"fighter1":76,"fighter2":90}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/2549-gabriel-bonfim","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5548-belal-muhammad","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}