{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2582-6364-uran-satybaldiev-vs-dustin-jacoby","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2582-6364-uran-satybaldiev-vs-dustin-jacoby","generated_at":"2026-06-22T23:05:04.305Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":532,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":2582,"name":{"full":"Uran Satybaldiev","first":"Uran","last":"Satybaldiev"},"record":{"wins":9,"losses":1,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":1,"winsByDec":0,"losses":1,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":76,"reach_inches":79,"weight_lbs":205,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":2.14,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.66,"striking_accuracy":25},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0,"takedown_accuracy":0,"takedown_defense":50,"submission_average":1.7}},"profile":{"id":2582,"full_name":"Uran Satybaldiev","nickname":"Gorilla","page_nickname":"Gorilla","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/02f484417a6fa69d","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/uran-satybaldiev.png","physical":{"height_in":76,"height_cm":193,"weight_lb":205,"weight_kg":92,"reach_in":79,"reach_cm":200,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1994-08-10","age":31},"record":{"wins":9,"losses":1,"draws":0,"raw":"9-1-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":2.14,"str_acc":25,"sapm":3.66,"td_avg":0,"td_acc":0,"td_def":50,"sub_avg":1.7},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":196216,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang","event_date":"2025-08-23T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Shanghai, Hebei, China","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Ezekiel Choke From Guard","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":165,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4422,"full_name":"Diyar Nurgozhay","first_name":"Diyar","last_name":"Nurgozhay","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/diyar-nurgozhay.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/diyar-nurgozhay.png"}],"strikes_landed":3,"strikes_attempted":10,"strike_pct":30,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":70},{"fight_id":32470,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy","event_date":"2025-04-05T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - 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The Hanyak just knocked out Julius Walker in February with nasty ground and pound in round two, and before that he flatlined Bruno Lopes in under two minutes back in May. Three straight finishes, all by knockout. That's the kind of momentum that gets people talking. Jacoby's looking like a completely different fighter than the guy who got caught by Dominick Reyes.\n\nSatybaldiev is coming off that slick Ezekiel choke over Diyar Nurgozhay in Shanghai last August. First round finish, locked it up from guard like it was nothing. But here's the thing, he also dropped a decision to Martin Buday at heavyweight before that, so we're seeing him back at light heavyweight where he belongs. The Gorilla's got that submission threat that could make things interesting if this hits the mat.\n\nThis is a classic striker versus grappler setup. Jacoby's been cracking guys with that right hand at distance, landing at 57 to 59 percent in his recent wins. He's got the experience edge too, been in there with killers. Satybaldiev's only got two UFC fights under his belt, but that submission game is legit. If he can close the distance and drag Jacoby into deep water, things could get dangerous.\n\nThe big question is whether Satybaldiev can survive the early storm. Jacoby's been finishing guys in rounds one through three, and he's not the type to let you settle in.","key_storylines":["Jacoby riding three straight knockout wins into this matchup","Satybaldiev's slick submission game versus Jacoby's striking power","Can the Gorilla survive the early rounds against a hot Jacoby"],"finishing_window":"Jacoby's been getting his finishes anywhere from round one to round three, so expect him to come out hunting early and often."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Dustin Jacoby","difference":"152.3%","values":{"fighter1":2.14,"fighter2":5.4}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Dustin Jacoby","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":0,"fighter2":0.32}},"defense":{"advantage":"Dustin Jacoby","difference":"24.0%","values":{"fighter1":50,"fighter2":62}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/2582-uran-satybaldiev","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6364-dustin-jacoby","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}