{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2589-5210-khabib-nurmagomedov-vs-justin-gaethje","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/2589-5210-khabib-nurmagomedov-vs-justin-gaethje","generated_at":"2026-09-03T12:54:29.445Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":34706,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":2589,"name":{"full":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","first":"Khabib","last":"Nurmagomedov"},"record":{"wins":29,"losses":0,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":2,"winsBySub":5,"winsByDec":6,"losses":0,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":70,"reach_inches":70,"weight_lbs":155,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":4.1,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":1.75,"striking_accuracy":48},"grappling":{"takedown_average":5.32,"takedown_accuracy":48,"takedown_defense":84,"submission_average":0.8}},"profile":{"id":2589,"full_name":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","nickname":"The Eagle","page_nickname":"The Eagle","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/032cc3922d871c7f","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/khabib-nurmagomedov.png","physical":{"height_in":70,"height_cm":177,"weight_lb":155,"weight_kg":70,"reach_in":70,"reach_cm":177,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1988-09-20","age":37},"record":{"wins":29,"losses":0,"draws":0,"raw":"29-0-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":4.1,"str_acc":48,"sapm":1.75,"td_avg":5.32,"td_acc":48,"td_def":84,"sub_avg":0.8},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":34706,"event_name":"UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje","event_date":"2020-10-24T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":94,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5210,"full_name":"Justin Gaethje","first_name":"Justin","last_name":"Gaethje","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/justin-gaethje.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/justin-gaethje.png"}],"strikes_landed":26,"strikes_attempted":80,"strike_pct":33,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":67,"ctrl_time_sec":55},{"fight_id":35241,"event_name":"UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier","event_date":"2019-09-07T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":126,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2574,"full_name":"Dustin Poirier","first_name":"Dustin","last_name":"Poirier","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/dustin-poirier.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/dustin-poirier.png"}],"strikes_landed":54,"strikes_attempted":77,"strike_pct":70,"tds_landed":7,"tds_attempted":8,"td_pct":88,"ctrl_time_sec":532},{"fight_id":35720,"event_name":"UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor","event_date":"2018-10-06T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":4,"finish_time_sec":183,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6661,"full_name":"Conor McGregor","first_name":"Conor","last_name":"McGregor","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/conor-mcgregor.png","hero_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/conor-mcgregor-new.png"}],"strikes_landed":104,"strikes_attempted":157,"strike_pct":66,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":7,"td_pct":43,"ctrl_time_sec":735},{"fight_id":35958,"event_name":"UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta","event_date":"2018-04-07T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Brooklyn, New York, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Sal D'amato 43 - 50.Derek Cleary 44 - 50.Chris Lee 43 - 50.","finish_round":5,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4039,"full_name":"Al Iaquinta","first_name":"Al","last_name":"Iaquinta","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/al-iaquinta.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/al-iaquinta.png"}],"strikes_landed":172,"strikes_attempted":352,"strike_pct":49,"tds_landed":6,"tds_attempted":15,"td_pct":40,"ctrl_time_sec":633},{"fight_id":36071,"event_name":"UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm","event_date":"2017-12-30T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Junichiro Kamijo 25 - 30.Sal D'amato 25 - 30.Glenn Trowbridge 24 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4217,"full_name":"Edson Barboza","first_name":"Edson","last_name":"Barboza","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/edson-barboza.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/edson-barboza.png"}],"strikes_landed":154,"strikes_attempted":246,"strike_pct":63,"tds_landed":4,"tds_attempted":13,"td_pct":31,"ctrl_time_sec":632}]},"fighter2":{"id":5210,"name":{"full":"Justin Gaethje","first":"Justin","last":"Gaethje"},"record":{"wins":28,"losses":5,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":7,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":4,"losses":5,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":71,"reach_inches":70,"weight_lbs":155,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":6.48,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":7.05,"striking_accuracy":58},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.33,"takedown_accuracy":40,"takedown_defense":74,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":5210,"full_name":"Justin Gaethje","nickname":"The Highlight","page_nickname":"The Highlight","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/9e8f6c728eb01124","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/justin-gaethje.png","physical":{"height_in":71,"height_cm":180,"weight_lb":155,"weight_kg":70,"reach_in":70,"reach_cm":177,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1988-11-14","age":37},"record":{"wins":28,"losses":5,"draws":0,"raw":"28-5-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":6.48,"str_acc":58,"sapm":7.05,"str_def":51,"td_avg":0.33,"td_acc":40,"td_def":74,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":546341,"event_name":"UFC Freedom 250","event_date":"2026-06-14T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Washington, DC, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"toCorner Stoppage","finish_round":4,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3970,"full_name":"Ilia Topuria","first_name":"Ilia","last_name":"Topuria","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ilia-topuria.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ilia-topuria.png"}]},{"fight_id":339139,"event_name":"UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett","event_date":"2026-01-24T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Interim Lightweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mike Bell 47 - 48.Derek Cleary 46 - 49.Sal D'amato 46 - 49.","finish_round":5,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4541,"full_name":"Paddy Pimblett","first_name":"Paddy","last_name":"Pimblett","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/paddy-pimblett.png","hero_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/paddy.png"}],"strikes_landed":200,"strikes_attempted":313,"strike_pct":64,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":355},{"fight_id":32511,"event_name":"UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev","event_date":"2025-03-08T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ben Cartlidge 28 - 29.Chris Lee 28 - 29.Ron McCarthy 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5907,"full_name":"Rafael Fiziev","first_name":"Rafael","last_name":"Fiziev","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/rafael-fiziev.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/rafael-fiziev.png"}],"strikes_landed":98,"strikes_attempted":163,"strike_pct":60,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":92},{"fight_id":32936,"event_name":"UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill","event_date":"2024-04-13T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":5,"finish_time_sec":299,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2861,"full_name":"Max Holloway","first_name":"Max","last_name":"Holloway","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/max-holloway.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/max-holloway.png"}]},{"fight_id":33285,"event_name":"UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2","event_date":"2023-07-29T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Salt Lake City, Utah, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Kick to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":60,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2574,"full_name":"Dustin Poirier","first_name":"Dustin","last_name":"Poirier","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/dustin-poirier.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/dustin-poirier.png"}]}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Justin Gaethje","difference":"58.0%","values":{"fighter1":4.1,"fighter2":6.48}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","difference":"1512.1%","values":{"fighter1":5.32,"fighter2":0.33}},"defense":{"advantage":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","difference":"13.5%","values":{"fighter1":84,"fighter2":74}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/2589-khabib-nurmagomedov","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5210-justin-gaethje","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}