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Raposo's coming off a solid decision win over Azat Maksum back in October, but before that he dropped back to back split decisions to Sumudaerji and Andre Lima. The guy can hang in there for 15 minutes, but he's still searching for that statement performance that makes people remember his name.\n\nNascimento is a completely different animal. The Brazilian just submitted Cody Durden with a nasty anaconda choke in November, and before that he outworked Jafel Filho over three rounds. When you go back to early 2023, remember when he caught Carlos Hernandez with that rear naked choke in the first round? Dude's dangerous whenever the fight hits the mat. He's won three of his last four, with that lone loss coming via split decision to Tagir Ulanbekov back in 2021.\n\nHere's the thing about this fight. Raposo switches stances and has shown decent wrestling, hitting 6 takedowns against Sumudaerji, but his finishing rate is nonexistent in the UFC. Nascimento is the exact opposite. He's hunting for submissions every time he gets top position, and that anaconda choke he hit on Durden showed he's got creative ways to finish. If Raposo can keep this standing and use his movement, he's got a path. But one scramble gone wrong and he could be fighting off a choke.","key_storylines":["Raposo needs a finish to make noise in the division","Nascimento's submission game is legit and proven dangerous","Can Raposo avoid the ground war he'll probably lose"],"finishing_window":"This one gets spicy whenever Nascimento drags it to the mat, especially in rounds two and three when Raposo starts feeling that Brazilian pressure."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Allan Nascimento","difference":"76.9%","values":{"fighter1":1.73,"fighter2":3.06}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Mitch Raposo","difference":"101.6%","values":{"fighter1":2.54,"fighter2":1.26}},"defense":{"advantage":"Mitch Raposo","difference":"64.9%","values":{"fighter1":61,"fighter2":37}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/2727-mitch-raposo","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3135-allan-nascimento","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}