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The Hawaiian veteran has dropped four straight, including a brutal third round TKO to Robert Bryczek in Paris and a decision loss to Eryk Anders just a few months back. He's fighting to keep his UFC career alive at this point. Meanwhile, Marc-Andre Barriault is riding his own rough patch with three straight losses, getting starched by Joe Pyfer in 85 seconds at UFC 303, then losing to Dustin Stoltzfus and Shara Magomedov. But here's the thing, Powerbar showed he still has that finishing power when he elbowed Bruno Silva into oblivion in the first round back in May 2025.\n\nThis is a classic crossroads fight where someone's getting sent packing. Tavares has always been a solid technical striker who can grind out decisions, like he did against Gerald Meerschaert. But those knockout losses are piling up, and at middleweight that's a dangerous trend. Barriault is the more explosive guy when he's on, throwing heavy leather and hunting for the finish. That Pyfer loss stung, but before that he was putting guys away.\n\nThe matchup comes down to whether Tavares can use his experience and technical boxing to keep Barriault at range, or if Powerbar can close the distance and unload those nasty elbows in the clinch like he did to Silva. Both guys are Orthodox, both need this win desperately. Fans know what's at stake here, someone's likely getting cut after this one. It's win or go home time for two middleweights who've seen better days but still have enough left in the tank to make this interesting.","key_storylines":["Tavares on four fight skid, career hanging by thread","Barriault hunting knockout after three straight losses himself","Loser probably gets cut, winner buys more time"],"finishing_window":"If Barriault finds his range in the clinch or Tavares gets caught clean like he has lately, this one ends violently in rounds two or three."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Marc-Andre Barriault","difference":"65.7%","values":{"fighter1":3.41,"fighter2":5.65}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Brad Tavares","difference":"105.9%","values":{"fighter1":0.7,"fighter2":0.34}},"defense":{"advantage":"Brad Tavares","difference":"17.6%","values":{"fighter1":80,"fighter2":68}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/2737-brad-tavares","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4939-marc-andre-barriault","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}