{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3013-4340-fares-ziam-vs-tom-nolan","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3013-4340-fares-ziam-vs-tom-nolan","generated_at":"2026-06-01T02:02:48.396Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":436,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":3013,"name":{"full":"Fares Ziam","first":"Fares","last":"Ziam"},"record":{"wins":18,"losses":4,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":2,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":6,"losses":2,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":73,"reach_inches":75,"weight_lbs":155,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":2.85,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":1.62,"striking_accuracy":51},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.62,"takedown_accuracy":40,"takedown_defense":70,"submission_average":0.2}},"profile":{"id":3013,"full_name":"Fares Ziam","nickname":"Smile Killer","page_nickname":"The Smile Killer","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/1e4f273069fb9e85","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/fares-ziam.png","physical":{"height_in":73,"height_cm":185,"weight_lb":155,"weight_kg":70,"reach_in":75,"reach_cm":190,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1997-03-21","age":29},"record":{"wins":18,"losses":4,"draws":0,"raw":"18-4-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":2.85,"str_acc":51,"sapm":1.62,"td_avg":1.62,"td_acc":40,"td_def":70,"sub_avg":0.2},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":313689,"event_name":"UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2","event_date":"2025-12-06T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":299,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6839,"full_name":"Nazim Sadykhov","first_name":"Nazim","last_name":"Sadykhov","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/nazim-sadykhov.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/nazim-sadykhov.png"}]},{"fight_id":128991,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov","event_date":"2025-02-01T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - 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The dude is on a six fight win streak in the lightweight division, which is the longest active run in one of the UFC's most stacked weight classes. That's not just impressive, that's scary. He's coming off back to back finishes, including a nasty second round TKO over Nazim Sadykhov in December and that brutal knee that put Matt Frevola away in Paris. When you're finishing guys in front of your home crowd, you're feeling yourself.\n\nTom Nolan is no joke though. Big Train has won four straight himself, and he's been getting it done in different ways. That rear naked choke of Charlie Campbell in Perth took less than five minutes, and before that he went the full fifteen with Viacheslav Borshchev, landing 111 strikes. The Aussie can bang and he can grapple. His only UFC loss was that quick knockout to Nikolas Motta back in January 2024, and he's clearly learned from it.\n\nThe matchup is wild because you've got Ziam's orthodox pressure against Nolan's southpaw volume. Ziam showed he can mix it up, going 4 for 4 on takedowns against Frevola and controlling over seven minutes against Mike Davis. Nolan threw 236 strikes in that Borshchev fight, which is insane output. Both guys are dangerous in the clinch too. Ziam has that knee that ended Frevola, while Nolan put away Victor Martinez with a body knee.\n\nThis is about who can impose their game first. Ziam wants to grind and find that finish. Nolan wants to keep it moving and pile up damage.","key_storylines":["Ziam riding longest active lightweight win streak at six straight","Nolan bounced back from early knockout with four straight wins","Both fighters love finishing guys in the clinch"],"finishing_window":"Round two is when both guys historically turn up the heat and start hunting for the finish."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Tom Nolan","difference":"106.0%","values":{"fighter1":2.85,"fighter2":5.87}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Fares Ziam","difference":"118.9%","values":{"fighter1":1.62,"fighter2":0.74}},"defense":{"advantage":"Tom Nolan","difference":"1.4%","values":{"fighter1":70,"fighter2":71}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3013-fares-ziam","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4340-tom-nolan","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}