{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3105-4801-justin-buchholz-vs-mac-danzig","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3105-4801-justin-buchholz-vs-mac-danzig","generated_at":"2026-09-26T03:24:05.925Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":39249,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":3105,"name":{"full":"Justin Buchholz","first":"Justin","last":"Buchholz"},"record":{"wins":15,"losses":10,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":1,"winsByDec":0,"losses":4,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":72,"reach_inches":73,"weight_lbs":155,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":2.35,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":4.14,"striking_accuracy":26},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0,"takedown_accuracy":0,"takedown_defense":33,"submission_average":0.8}},"profile":{"id":3105,"full_name":"Justin Buchholz","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/231926533134ec1f","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/no-profile.png","physical":{"height_in":72,"height_cm":182,"weight_lb":155,"weight_kg":70,"reach_in":73,"reach_cm":185,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1983-08-22","age":43},"record":{"wins":15,"losses":10,"draws":0,"raw":"15-10-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":2.35,"str_acc":26,"sapm":4.14,"td_avg":0,"td_acc":0,"td_def":33,"sub_avg":0.8},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":39249,"event_name":"UFC 109: Relentless","event_date":"2010-02-06T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Adalaide Byrd 28 - 29.Glenn Trowbridge 28 - 29.Lester Griffin 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4801,"full_name":"Mac Danzig","first_name":"Mac","last_name":"Danzig","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/mac-danzig.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/mac-danzig.png"}],"strikes_landed":36,"strikes_attempted":141,"strike_pct":26,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":144},{"fight_id":39349,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard","event_date":"2009-09-16T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"TKO - Doctor's Stoppage","details":"Facial Cuts","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":203,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2910,"full_name":"Jeremy Stephens","first_name":"Jeremy","last_name":"Stephens","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jeremy-stephens.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jeremy-stephens.png"}],"strikes_landed":11,"strikes_attempted":51,"strike_pct":22,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":39401,"event_name":"UFC 99: The Comeback","event_date":"2009-06-13T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Cologne, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Submission","details":"D'Arce Choke From Front Headlock","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":158,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3404,"full_name":"Terry Etim","first_name":"Terry","last_name":"Etim","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/terry-etim.png"}],"strikes_landed":43,"strikes_attempted":86,"strike_pct":50,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":116},{"fight_id":39599,"event_name":"UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin","event_date":"2008-07-05T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":237,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5447,"full_name":"Corey Hill","first_name":"Corey","last_name":"Hill","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/no-profile.png"}],"strikes_landed":40,"strikes_attempted":96,"strike_pct":42,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":11},{"fight_id":39682,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman","event_date":"2008-01-23T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":176,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6498,"full_name":"Matt Wiman","first_name":"Matt","last_name":"Wiman","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/matt-wiman.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/matt-wiman.png"}],"strikes_landed":3,"strikes_attempted":10,"strike_pct":30,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0}]},"fighter2":{"id":4801,"name":{"full":"Mac Danzig","first":"Mac","last":"Danzig"},"record":{"wins":21,"losses":12,"draws":1,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":2,"winsByDec":2,"losses":8,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":68,"reach_inches":70,"weight_lbs":155,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.39,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.44,"striking_accuracy":48},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.2,"takedown_accuracy":37,"takedown_defense":46,"submission_average":0.6}},"profile":{"id":4801,"full_name":"Mac Danzig","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/86f582852a5b240a","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/mac-danzig.png","physical":{"height_in":68,"height_cm":172,"weight_lb":155,"weight_kg":70,"reach_in":70,"reach_cm":177,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1980-01-02","age":46},"record":{"wins":21,"losses":12,"draws":1,"raw":"21-12-1"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.39,"str_acc":48,"sapm":3.44,"td_avg":1.2,"td_acc":37,"td_def":46,"sub_avg":0.6},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":38010,"event_name":"UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2","event_date":"2013-12-14T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Sacramento, California, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mike Bell 27 - 30.Edward Collantes 27 - 30.Marcos Rosales 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3552,"full_name":"Joe Lauzon","first_name":"Joe","last_name":"Lauzon","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/joe-lauzon.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/joe-lauzon.png"}],"strikes_landed":91,"strikes_attempted":137,"strike_pct":66,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":154},{"fight_id":38189,"event_name":"UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga","event_date":"2013-07-27T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Seattle, Washington, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":167,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5991,"full_name":"Melvin Guillard","first_name":"Melvin","last_name":"Guillard","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/melvin-guillard.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/melvin-guillard.png"}]},{"fight_id":38441,"event_name":"UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le","event_date":"2012-11-10T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Macau, China","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Split","details":"Mark Collett 28 - 29.Aaron Chatfield 29 - 28.Chris Watts 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3558,"full_name":"Takanori Gomi","first_name":"Takanori","last_name":"Gomi","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/takanori-gomi.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/takanori-gomi.png"}],"strikes_landed":95,"strikes_attempted":155,"strike_pct":61,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":40,"ctrl_time_sec":93},{"fight_id":38635,"event_name":"UFC 145: Jones vs Evans","event_date":"2012-04-21T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Atlanta, Georgia, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ken Coffey 27 - 30.Chris Lee 27 - 30.Cardo Urso 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4746,"full_name":"Efrain Escudero","first_name":"Efrain","last_name":"Escudero","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/efrain-escudero.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/efrain-escudero.png"}],"strikes_landed":130,"strikes_attempted":190,"strike_pct":68,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":20,"ctrl_time_sec":334},{"fight_id":38812,"event_name":"UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson","event_date":"2011-10-01T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Washington, DC, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"28 - 29.28 - 29.28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6498,"full_name":"Matt Wiman","first_name":"Matt","last_name":"Wiman","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/matt-wiman.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/matt-wiman.png"}],"strikes_landed":193,"strikes_attempted":255,"strike_pct":76,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":6,"td_pct":33,"ctrl_time_sec":297}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Mac Danzig","difference":"44.3%","values":{"fighter1":2.35,"fighter2":3.39}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Mac Danzig","difference":null,"values":{"fighter1":0,"fighter2":1.2}},"defense":{"advantage":"Mac Danzig","difference":"39.4%","values":{"fighter1":33,"fighter2":46}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3105-justin-buchholz","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4801-mac-danzig","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}