{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3210-6457-luis-gurule-vs-daniel-barez","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3210-6457-luis-gurule-vs-daniel-barez","generated_at":"2026-05-02T05:41:30.520Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":380,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":3210,"name":{"full":"Luis Gurule","first":"Luis","last":"Gurule"},"record":{"wins":10,"losses":3,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":0,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":65,"reach_inches":64,"weight_lbs":125,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":4.47,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":4.74,"striking_accuracy":40},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.58,"takedown_accuracy":14,"takedown_defense":58,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":3210,"full_name":"Luis Gurule","nickname":"Grim","page_nickname":"Grim","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/29162be25ebef5f0","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/luis-gurule.png","physical":{"height_in":65,"height_cm":165,"weight_lb":125,"weight_kg":56,"reach_in":64,"reach_cm":162,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1993-11-16","age":32},"record":{"wins":10,"losses":3,"draws":0,"raw":"10-3-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":4.47,"str_acc":40,"sapm":4.74,"td_avg":0.58,"td_acc":14,"td_def":58,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":364705,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez","event_date":"2026-02-21T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Houston, Texas, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ryan Thompson 27 - 30.Junichiro Kamijo 27 - 30.Chris Lee 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":17682,"full_name":"Alden Coria","first_name":"Alden","last_name":"Coria","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/alden-coria-profile.PNG"}],"strikes_landed":59,"strikes_attempted":169,"strike_pct":35,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":33,"ctrl_time_sec":81},{"fight_id":212875,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva","event_date":"2025-09-13T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"San Antonio, Texas, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Jesse Lorenty 27 - 30.Chris Lee 28 - 29.Junichiro Kamijo 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5787,"full_name":"Jesus Aguilar","first_name":"Jesus","last_name":"Aguilar","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jesus-aguilar.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jesus-aguilar.png"}],"strikes_landed":73,"strikes_attempted":195,"strike_pct":37,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":21},{"fight_id":32464,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy","event_date":"2025-04-05T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":114,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4366,"full_name":"Ode Osbourne","first_name":"Ode","last_name":"Osbourne","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ode-osbourne.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ode-osbourne.png"}],"strikes_landed":26,"strikes_attempted":49,"strike_pct":53,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":4,"td_pct":25,"ctrl_time_sec":137}]},"fighter2":{"id":6457,"name":{"full":"Daniel Barez","first":"Daniel","last":"Barez"},"record":{"wins":17,"losses":7,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":2,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":66,"reach_inches":66,"weight_lbs":125,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.65,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":5.95,"striking_accuracy":49},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.93,"takedown_accuracy":28,"takedown_defense":80,"submission_average":0.6}},"profile":{"id":6457,"full_name":"Daniel Barez","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/e8fe9c15d348e778","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/daniel-barez.png","physical":{"height_in":66,"height_cm":167,"weight_lb":125,"weight_kg":56,"reach_in":66,"reach_cm":167,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1988-12-10","age":37},"record":{"wins":17,"losses":7,"draws":0,"raw":"17-7-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.65,"str_acc":49,"sapm":5.95,"td_avg":1.93,"td_acc":28,"td_def":80,"sub_avg":0.6},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":32507,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2","event_date":"2025-03-15T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":185,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5552,"full_name":"Andre Lima","first_name":"Andre","last_name":"Lima","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/andre-lima.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/andre-lima.png"}]},{"fight_id":32715,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis","event_date":"2024-09-28T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Paris, Ile-de-France, France","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ludovic Dandine 28 - 29.David Lethaby 28 - 29.Clemens Werner 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6255,"full_name":"Victor Altamirano","first_name":"Victor","last_name":"Altamirano","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/victor-altamirano.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/victor-altamirano.png"}],"strikes_landed":78,"strikes_attempted":142,"strike_pct":55,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":69},{"fight_id":33310,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura","event_date":"2023-07-22T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"London, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Submission","details":"Arm Triangle From Mount","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":206,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4234,"full_name":"Jafel Filho","first_name":"Jafel","last_name":"Filho","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jafel-filho.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jafel-filho.png"}],"strikes_landed":18,"strikes_attempted":30,"strike_pct":60,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":12}]}},"ai_analysis":{"teaser":{"main_analysis":"Daniel Barez is stepping into the Apex looking to snap a rough skid. The Spanish flyweight got caught in a rear naked choke against Andre Lima back in March, his second submission loss in three UFC fights. That's gotta be eating at him. Meanwhile, Luis \"Grim\" Gurule out of Factory X is riding a three fight losing streak of his own. He got knocked out by Ode Osbourne in April, then dropped decisions to Jesus Aguilar and Alden Coria. Both guys are fighting with their backs against the wall here.\n\nHere's the thing though, Barez showed something real in his win over Victor Altamirano in Paris. He landed 78 strikes and controlled the fight for three rounds, taking a clean unanimous decision. That's the version of Barez that can compete at this level. Gurule's been busy but can't find the win column. His striking accuracy has been rough, sitting at 35% and 37% in those last two decisions. He's throwing volume but not landing clean.\n\nThis feels like a classic striker versus striker battle where someone's losing streak ends. Barez has the cleaner striking when he's on, but those submission losses show he can get caught. Gurule keeps pushing forward even when things aren't working, which could either wear Barez down or walk him into something nasty. Both guys need this one badly, and that desperation makes flyweight scraps dangerous.\n\nUPD (5th of April): This Apex scrap carries serious stakes for both flyweights, as another loss could mean the end of the road in the UFC. The pressure is real when you're staring down a potential pink slip, and that kind of desperation often produces the most entertaining fights of the night.","key_storylines":["Two fighters desperate to end losing streaks in the Apex","Barez looking to recapture that Paris performance against Altamirano","Gurule's volume striking hasn't translated to wins lately"],"finishing_window":"If someone's getting finished, it happens in round two when the pace catches up and desperation kicks in."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Luis Gurule","difference":"22.5%","values":{"fighter1":4.47,"fighter2":3.65}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Daniel Barez","difference":"232.8%","values":{"fighter1":0.58,"fighter2":1.93}},"defense":{"advantage":"Daniel Barez","difference":"37.9%","values":{"fighter1":58,"fighter2":80}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3210-luis-gurule","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6457-daniel-barez","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}