{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3256-5728-umar-nurmagomedov-vs-mario-bautista","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3256-5728-umar-nurmagomedov-vs-mario-bautista","generated_at":"2026-04-06T09:12:46.904Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":null,"status":"unknown","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":3256,"name":{"full":"Umar Nurmagomedov","first":"Umar","last":"Nurmagomedov"},"record":{"wins":20,"losses":1,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":2,"winsByDec":5,"losses":1,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":68,"reach_inches":69,"weight_lbs":135,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.86,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":1.86,"striking_accuracy":56},"grappling":{"takedown_average":4.03,"takedown_accuracy":46,"takedown_defense":79,"submission_average":0.2}},"profile":{"id":3256,"full_name":"Umar Nurmagomedov","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/2b6fc1c02736833d","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/umar-nurmagomedov.png","physical":{"height_in":68,"height_cm":172,"weight_lb":135,"weight_kg":61,"reach_in":69,"reach_cm":175,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1996-01-03","age":30},"record":{"wins":20,"losses":1,"draws":0,"raw":"20-1-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.86,"str_acc":56,"sapm":1.86,"td_avg":4.03,"td_acc":46,"td_def":79,"sub_avg":0.2},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":339144,"event_name":"UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett","event_date":"2026-01-24T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Derek Cleary 27 - 30.Eric Colon 27 - 30.Sal D'amato 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5428,"full_name":"Deiveson Figueiredo","first_name":"Deiveson","last_name":"Figueiredo","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/deiveson-figueiredo.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/deiveson-figueiredo.png"}],"strikes_landed":103,"strikes_attempted":167,"strike_pct":62,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":6,"td_pct":33,"ctrl_time_sec":290},{"fight_id":271478,"event_name":"UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane","event_date":"2025-10-25T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ben Cartlidge 27 - 30.Chris Lee 27 - 30.Jacob Montalvo 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5728,"full_name":"Mario Bautista","first_name":"Mario","last_name":"Bautista","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/mario-bautista.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/mario-bautista.png"}],"strikes_landed":81,"strikes_attempted":105,"strike_pct":77,"tds_landed":11,"tds_attempted":14,"td_pct":79,"ctrl_time_sec":646},{"fight_id":32567,"event_name":"UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano","event_date":"2025-01-18T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Inglewood, California, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Chris Leben 47 - 48.Chris Crail 46 - 49.Mike Bell 47 - 48.","finish_round":5,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5783,"full_name":"Merab Dvalishvili","first_name":"Merab","last_name":"Dvalishvili","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/merab.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/merab-dvalishvili.png"}],"strikes_landed":113,"strikes_attempted":246,"strike_pct":46,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":15,"td_pct":13,"ctrl_time_sec":97},{"fight_id":32773,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov","event_date":"2024-08-03T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mike Bell 45 - 50.Ben Cartlidge 46 - 49.David Lethaby 46 - 49.","finish_round":5,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4238,"full_name":"Cory Sandhagen","first_name":"Cory","last_name":"Sandhagen","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/cory-sandhagen.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/cory-sandhagen.png"}]},{"fight_id":33015,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev","event_date":"2024-03-02T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mike Bell 25 - 30.Bryan Miner 26 - 30.Jacob Montalvo 26 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5320,"full_name":"Bekzat Almakhan","first_name":"Bekzat","last_name":"Almakhan","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/bekzat-almakhan.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/bekzat-almakhan.png"}],"strikes_landed":145,"strikes_attempted":197,"strike_pct":74,"tds_landed":5,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":686}]},"fighter2":{"id":5728,"name":{"full":"Mario Bautista","first":"Mario","last":"Bautista"},"record":{"wins":17,"losses":3,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":4,"winsByDec":6,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":69,"reach_inches":69,"weight_lbs":135,"stance":"Switch"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":5.3,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.98,"striking_accuracy":48},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.91,"takedown_accuracy":38,"takedown_defense":55,"submission_average":0.8}},"profile":{"id":5728,"full_name":"Mario Bautista","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/bc711b6dd95c1af6","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/mario-bautista.png","physical":{"height_in":69,"height_cm":175,"weight_lb":135,"weight_kg":61,"reach_in":69,"reach_cm":175,"stance":"Switch","dob":"1993-07-01","age":32},"record":{"wins":17,"losses":3,"draws":0,"raw":"17-3-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":5.3,"str_acc":48,"sapm":3.98,"td_avg":1.91,"td_acc":38,"td_def":55,"sub_avg":0.8},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":356164,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira","event_date":"2026-02-07T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":286,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2915,"full_name":"Vinicius Oliveira","first_name":"Vinicius","last_name":"Oliveira","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/vinicius-oliveira.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/vinicius-oliveira.png"}],"strikes_landed":49,"strikes_attempted":63,"strike_pct":78,"tds_landed":5,"tds_attempted":7,"td_pct":71,"ctrl_time_sec":347},{"fight_id":271478,"event_name":"UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane","event_date":"2025-10-25T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ben Cartlidge 27 - 30.Chris Lee 27 - 30.Jacob Montalvo 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3256,"full_name":"Umar Nurmagomedov","first_name":"Umar","last_name":"Nurmagomedov","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/umar-nurmagomedov.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/umar-nurmagomedov.png"}],"strikes_landed":33,"strikes_attempted":67,"strike_pct":49,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":4},{"fight_id":97243,"event_name":"UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2","event_date":"2025-06-07T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Newark, New Jersey, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Sal D'amato 28 - 29.Adrian Castro 27 - 30.Eric Colon 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":12788,"full_name":"Patchy Mix","first_name":"Patchy","last_name":"Mix","profile_url":"https://www.ufc.com/images/styles/event_results_athlete_headshot/s3/2025-10/MIX_PATCHY_10-04.png","hero_url":"https://www.ufc.com/images/styles/athlete_bio_full_body/s3/2025-10/MIX_PATCHY_L_10-04.png"}],"strikes_landed":173,"strikes_attempted":302,"strike_pct":57,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":32694,"event_name":"UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.","event_date":"2024-10-05T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Salt Lake City, Utah, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Split","details":"Chris Lee 29 - 28.Derek Cleary 28 - 29.Mike Bell 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6055,"full_name":"Jose Aldo","first_name":"Jose","last_name":"Aldo","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jose-aldo.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jose-aldo.png"}]},{"fight_id":33088,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2","event_date":"2024-01-13T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Bantamweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Sal D'amato 27 - 30.Chris Lee 27 - 30.Derek Cleary 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4046,"full_name":"Ricky Simon","first_name":"Ricky","last_name":"Simon","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ricky-simon.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ricky-simon.png"}]}]}},"ai_analysis":{"teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Mario Bautista","difference":"37.3%","values":{"fighter1":3.86,"fighter2":5.3}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Umar Nurmagomedov","difference":"111.0%","values":{"fighter1":4.03,"fighter2":1.91}},"defense":{"advantage":"Umar Nurmagomedov","difference":"43.6%","values":{"fighter1":79,"fighter2":55}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3256-umar-nurmagomedov","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5728-mario-bautista","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}