{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3262-17682-stewart-nicoll-vs-alden-coria","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3262-17682-stewart-nicoll-vs-alden-coria","generated_at":"2026-05-18T14:02:04.336Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":479,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":3262,"name":{"full":"Stewart Nicoll","first":"Stewart","last":"Nicoll"},"record":{"wins":8,"losses":3,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":0,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":65,"reach_inches":65,"weight_lbs":125,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.63,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":5.84,"striking_accuracy":39},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.63,"takedown_accuracy":11,"takedown_defense":28,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":3262,"full_name":"Stewart Nicoll","nickname":"Kakamora","page_nickname":"Kakamora","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/2bd98ab77a8daa75","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/stewart-nicoll.png","physical":{"height_in":65,"height_cm":165,"weight_lb":125,"weight_kg":56,"reach_in":65,"reach_cm":165,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1996-04-11","age":30},"record":{"wins":8,"losses":3,"draws":0,"raw":"8-3-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.63,"str_acc":39,"sapm":5.84,"td_avg":1.63,"td_acc":11,"td_def":28,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":424779,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan","event_date":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Body At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":296,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3611,"full_name":"Alessandro Costa","first_name":"Alessandro","last_name":"Costa","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/alessandro-costa.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/alessandro-costa.png"}],"strikes_landed":47,"strikes_attempted":99,"strike_pct":47,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":6},{"fight_id":254694,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot","event_date":"2025-10-11T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - 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Unanimous","details":"Ryan Thompson 27 - 30.Junichiro Kamijo 27 - 30.Chris Lee 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3210,"full_name":"Luis Gurule","first_name":"Luis","last_name":"Gurule","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/luis-gurule.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/luis-gurule.png"}],"strikes_landed":96,"strikes_attempted":193,"strike_pct":50,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":4,"td_pct":25,"ctrl_time_sec":102},{"fight_id":212877,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva","event_date":"2025-09-13T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"San Antonio, Texas, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":47,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3611,"full_name":"Alessandro Costa","first_name":"Alessandro","last_name":"Costa","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/alessandro-costa.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/alessandro-costa.png"}]}]}},"ai_analysis":{"teaser":{"main_analysis":"Alden \"Cobra\" Coria is riding high with back to back wins, and the dude's finishing power is legit. He knocked out Alessandro Costa with punches in the third round last September, then went the distance against Luis Gurule in February, landing 96 strikes and controlling the pace. That's two straight in the UFC, and he's looking to make it three against a guy who's had a rough go lately.\n\nStewart \"Kakamora\" Nicoll is in a tough spot right now. The Aussie from Broz Martial Arts has dropped three straight, including a brutal body shot KO loss to that same Alessandro Costa back in April. Before that, he got submitted by Jesus Aguilar in under three minutes at UFC 305 in his home country of Australia. When you look at his last fight against Costa, he landed 47 strikes but couldn't get anything going on the ground, missing all five takedown attempts.\n\nThis is a classic striker versus someone who needs to figure things out fast. Coria's been landing at a solid 50% clip and mixing in just enough wrestling to keep guys honest. Nicoll's struggled with accuracy, hitting only 33% against Lucas Rocha and 47% against Costa. The Australian's also been getting taken down and controlled, which doesn't bode well against a guy finding his rhythm.\n\nFor Nicoll, this is basically a must win situation. Three losses in the UFC is dangerous territory, and he needs to show something different than what we've seen. Coria's got the momentum and the confidence of a guy who knows he's figuring this level out.","key_storylines":["Coria riding two fight win streak with knockout power","Nicoll desperate to snap brutal three fight skid","Both fought Alessandro Costa with wildly different results"],"finishing_window":"Coria's last two finishes came in round three, so expect him to pour it on late if this one's still going."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Alden Coria","difference":"29.2%","values":{"fighter1":3.63,"fighter2":4.69}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Alden Coria","difference":"7.4%","values":{"fighter1":1.63,"fighter2":1.75}},"defense":{"advantage":"Alden Coria","difference":"153.6%","values":{"fighter1":28,"fighter2":71}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3262-stewart-nicoll","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/17682-alden-coria","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}