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Aleksandar Rakic is jumping up to heavyweight after getting knocked out by Azamat Murzakanov back in October. The Austrian has been on a brutal skid at 205, dropping four straight including that nasty ground and pound finish from Jiri Prochazka at UFC 300. Now he's testing the waters at heavyweight against Marcin Tybura in Belgrade, which is basically a homecoming fight for Rocket.\n\nTybura's had his own rough patch lately. He got caught in a first round armbar by Serghei Spivac back in August 2024, then got knocked out by Ante Delija in Paris last September. The Polish veteran bounced back with a decision win over Mick Parkin in London, landing 64 strikes and showing he can still grind, but then dropped another decision to Tyrell Fortune just two months ago. He's sitting at heavyweight number 8 in the rankings, so this is a real test for Rakic's move up.\n\nHere's the thing about this matchup. Rakic's got serious power and speed for 205, but how's that translate when he's facing actual heavyweights? Tybura's a crafty veteran who's been in there with everyone. He landed 153 strikes at 82% accuracy when he stopped Jhonata Diniz with that doctor's stoppage at UFC 309. The guy knows how to work a fight over three rounds.\n\nRakic needs this badly. Four straight losses at light heavyweight, and now he's rolling the dice on a whole new weight class. Either the extra size helps him or Tybura's experience at heavyweight becomes the difference.","key_storylines":["Rakic jumping to heavyweight after four straight losses","Tybura looking to bounce back from recent setbacks","Austrian gets homecoming fight in nearby Belgrade"],"finishing_window":"If Rakic's power translates up a weight class, the first round could get crazy, but Tybura's cardio and veteran savvy make the later rounds dangerous for a heavyweight newcomer."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Aleksandar Rakic","difference":"16.0%","values":{"fighter1":4.13,"fighter2":3.56}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Marcin Tybura","difference":"103.1%","values":{"fighter1":0.64,"fighter2":1.3}},"defense":{"advantage":"Aleksandar Rakic","difference":"21.4%","values":{"fighter1":85,"fighter2":70}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3410-aleksandar-rakic","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5931-marcin-tybura","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}