{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3533-4767-kevin-holland-vs-jacobe-smith","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/3533-4767-kevin-holland-vs-jacobe-smith","generated_at":"2026-05-26T16:38:08.184Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":492,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":3533,"name":{"full":"Kevin Holland","first":"Kevin","last":"Holland"},"record":{"wins":29,"losses":15,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":5,"winsBySub":6,"winsByDec":5,"losses":12,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":75,"reach_inches":81,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":4.26,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.22,"striking_accuracy":49},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.83,"takedown_accuracy":39,"takedown_defense":56,"submission_average":0.5}},"profile":{"id":3533,"full_name":"Kevin Holland","nickname":"Trailblazer","page_nickname":"Trailblazer","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/3a46b268013afede","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/kevin-holland.png","physical":{"height_in":75,"height_cm":190,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":81,"reach_cm":205,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1992-11-05","age":33},"record":{"wins":29,"losses":15,"draws":0,"raw":"29-15-0 (1 NC)"},"career_stats":{"slpm":4.26,"str_acc":49,"sapm":3.22,"td_avg":0.83,"td_acc":39,"td_def":56,"sub_avg":0.5},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":433403,"event_name":"UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg","event_date":"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Miami, Florida, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - 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Holland's coming off a big win over Randy Brown in Miami where he landed 137 strikes and controlled the fight for over four minutes, showing he's still got that volume striking game at welterweight. Before that though, he dropped back to back decisions to Mike Malott and Daniel Rodriguez, so he needs to keep this momentum rolling.\n\nSmith is riding a nasty three fight finish streak. The dude starched Preston Parsons in 73 seconds, choked out Niko Price in the second round, and just destroyed Josiah Harrell with ground and pound in Houston. That's three straight finishes, all different ways. He's hitting 100% on his takedowns lately and clearly hunting for the kill once he gets you down.\n\nThis matchup is wild because Holland's got that slick submission game (remember when he caught Vicente Luque with that anaconda choke?) but Smith's been the one finishing fights on the mat. Holland loves to stand and bang with crazy volume, but Smith's shown he can crack guys standing too before dragging them into deep water. Holland's got way more experience at this level, but Smith's got all the confidence in the world right now.\n\nThe big question is whether Holland can keep this on the feet where his striking volume usually overwhelms people, or if Smith can get this to the ground where he's been absolutely ruthless lately.","key_storylines":["Holland looking to build on that Randy Brown win","Smith hunting his fourth straight finish in the UFC","Grappling chess match between two dangerous submission threats"],"finishing_window":"If Smith gets a takedown in the first two rounds, things could get ugly fast for Holland."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Jacobe Smith","difference":"61.7%","values":{"fighter1":4.26,"fighter2":6.89}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Jacobe Smith","difference":"837.3%","values":{"fighter1":0.83,"fighter2":7.78}},"defense":{"advantage":"Jacobe Smith","difference":"78.6%","values":{"fighter1":56,"fighter2":100}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/3533-kevin-holland","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4767-jacobe-smith","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}