{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/4102-5106-manel-kape-vs-kyoji-horiguchi","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/4102-5106-manel-kape-vs-kyoji-horiguchi","generated_at":"2026-05-31T22:11:40.597Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":444,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":4102,"name":{"full":"Manel Kape","first":"Manel","last":"Kape"},"record":{"wins":22,"losses":7,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":5,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":2,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":65,"reach_inches":68,"weight_lbs":125,"stance":"Southpaw"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":5.04,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":4.08,"striking_accuracy":56},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.4,"takedown_accuracy":30,"takedown_defense":81,"submission_average":0.3}},"profile":{"id":4102,"full_name":"Manel Kape","nickname":"StarBoy","page_nickname":"StarBoy","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/5d1b7e3dd9e11074","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/manel-kape.png","physical":{"height_in":65,"height_cm":165,"weight_lb":125,"weight_kg":56,"reach_in":68,"reach_cm":172,"stance":"Southpaw","dob":"1993-11-14","age":32},"record":{"wins":22,"losses":7,"draws":0,"raw":"22-7-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":5.04,"str_acc":56,"sapm":4.08,"td_avg":0.4,"td_acc":30,"td_def":81,"sub_avg":0.3},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":330645,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape","event_date":"2025-12-13T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":198,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4381,"full_name":"Brandon Royval","first_name":"Brandon","last_name":"Royval","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/brandon-royval.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/brandon-royval.png"}]},{"fight_id":32520,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev","event_date":"2025-03-01T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":136,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4916,"full_name":"Asu Almabayev","first_name":"Asu","last_name":"Almabayev","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/asu-almabayev.png","hero_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/asu.png"}],"strikes_landed":62,"strikes_attempted":119,"strike_pct":52,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":29},{"fight_id":32595,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley","event_date":"2024-12-14T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Tampa, Florida, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":117,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3213,"full_name":"Bruno Silva","first_name":"Bruno","last_name":"Silva","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/bruno-silva.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/bruno-silva.png"},{"fighter_id":2830,"full_name":"Bruno Silva","first_name":"Bruno","last_name":"Silva","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/bruno-silva.png","hero_url":"https://dmxg5wxfqgb4u.cloudfront.net/styles/athlete_bio_full_body/s3/2024-10/4/SILVA_BRUNO_L_3-30.png"}],"strikes_landed":111,"strikes_attempted":168,"strike_pct":66,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":1},{"fight_id":32794,"event_name":"UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2","event_date":"2024-07-27T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Manchester, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Derek Cleary 28 - 29.Darryl Ransom 28 - 29.Anders Ohlsson 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4496,"full_name":"Muhammad Mokaev","first_name":"Muhammad","last_name":"Mokaev","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/muhammad-mokaev.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/muhammad-mokaev.png"}],"strikes_landed":34,"strikes_attempted":67,"strike_pct":51,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":4},{"fight_id":33214,"event_name":"UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland","event_date":"2023-09-09T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Sydney, New South Wales, Australia","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Eric Colon 27 - 30.David Lethaby 28 - 29.Clemens Werner 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4099,"full_name":"Felipe dos Santos","first_name":"Felipe","last_name":"dos Santos","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/felipe-dos-santos.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/felipe-dos-santos.png"}],"strikes_landed":116,"strikes_attempted":186,"strike_pct":62,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":45}]},"fighter2":{"id":5106,"name":{"full":"Kyoji Horiguchi","first":"Kyoji","last":"Horiguchi"},"record":{"wins":36,"losses":5,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":2,"winsBySub":1,"winsByDec":6,"losses":1,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":64,"reach_inches":63,"weight_lbs":125,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.77,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.13,"striking_accuracy":47},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.61,"takedown_accuracy":40,"takedown_defense":61,"submission_average":0.1}},"profile":{"id":5106,"full_name":"Kyoji Horiguchi","page_nickname":"Karate Kid","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/98aa60cf58071fd6","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/kyoji-horiguchi.png","physical":{"height_in":64,"height_cm":162,"weight_lb":125,"weight_kg":56,"reach_in":63,"reach_cm":160,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1990-10-12","age":35},"record":{"wins":36,"losses":5,"draws":0,"raw":"36-5-0 (1 NC)"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.77,"str_acc":47,"sapm":2.13,"td_avg":1.61,"td_acc":40,"td_def":61,"sub_avg":0.1},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":356165,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira","event_date":"2026-02-07T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Eric Colon 27 - 30.Junichiro Kamijo 27 - 30.Ron McCarthy 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4361,"full_name":"Amir Albazi","first_name":"Amir","last_name":"Albazi","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/amir-albazi.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/amir-albazi.png"}]},{"fight_id":305218,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker","event_date":"2025-11-22T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Doha, Qatar","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":138,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6592,"full_name":"Tagir Ulanbekov","first_name":"Tagir","last_name":"Ulanbekov","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/tagir-ulanbekov.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/tagir-ulanbekov.png"}]},{"fight_id":36616,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2","event_date":"2016-11-19T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Andreas Gruner 27 - 30.Pawel Harasim 27 - 30.Paul Sutherland 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3583,"full_name":"Ali Bagautinov","first_name":"Ali","last_name":"Bagautinov","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ali-bagautinov.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ali-bagautinov.png"}],"strikes_landed":115,"strikes_attempted":161,"strike_pct":71,"tds_landed":4,"tds_attempted":9,"td_pct":44,"ctrl_time_sec":272},{"fight_id":36881,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski","event_date":"2016-05-08T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ben Cartlidge 26 - 30.Andreas Gruner 27 - 30.Paul Sutherland 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3780,"full_name":"Neil Seery","first_name":"Neil","last_name":"Seery","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/neil-seery.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/neil-seery.png"}],"strikes_landed":83,"strikes_attempted":158,"strike_pct":53,"tds_landed":6,"tds_attempted":8,"td_pct":75,"ctrl_time_sec":349},{"fight_id":37141,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson","event_date":"2015-09-26T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Saitama, Japan","weight_class":"Flyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mark Craig 27 - 30.Evan Field 27 - 30.Albert Shen 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3398,"full_name":"Chico Camus","first_name":"Chico","last_name":"Camus","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/chico-camus.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/chico-camus.png"}],"strikes_landed":80,"strikes_attempted":226,"strike_pct":35,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":20}]}},"ai_analysis":{"teaser":{"main_analysis":"The UFC is bringing back a legend. Kyoji Horiguchi returns to the Octagon after nearly a decade away to headline UFC Vegas 119 against Manel Kape on June 20th. Horiguchi hasn't fought in the UFC since 2016, when he was piecing people up with slick karate and nasty grappling. Meanwhile, Kape is on an absolute tear right now, coming off three straight knockouts including that brutal finish of Brandon Royval in December where he put him away with ground and pound in the first round.\n\nThis is a wild stylistic clash. Horiguchi's last UFC run showed he's a complete fighter, mixing crisp striking with solid wrestling. He beat Ali Bagautinov and Neil Seery with his technical game, landing takedowns and controlling fights. But Kape has been a different animal lately. He knocked out Bruno Silva, finished Asu Almabayev in round three, and has been hunting finishes with scary power. The Angolan southpaw is landing at 52 to 66 percent and putting people away when he connects.\n\nThe big question is ring rust. Horiguchi has been competing outside the UFC, but stepping back into that Octagon after all this time against a guy who's finishing top contenders? That's a massive test. Kape's momentum is real, and he's shown he can crack anyone at flyweight. But Horiguchi's experience and well rounded game could give Kape problems if he can shake off the rust and get back to his old form.","key_storylines":["Horiguchi returns to UFC after nearly 10 years away","Kape riding three straight knockout wins into main event","Karate precision meets southpaw power in Vegas"],"finishing_window":"Kape's been getting finishes in round three lately, but if Horiguchi's timing is off early, this could end violently in the first two rounds."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Manel Kape","difference":"33.7%","values":{"fighter1":5.04,"fighter2":3.77}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Kyoji Horiguchi","difference":"302.5%","values":{"fighter1":0.4,"fighter2":1.61}},"defense":{"advantage":"Manel Kape","difference":"32.8%","values":{"fighter1":81,"fighter2":61}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4102-manel-kape","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5106-kyoji-horiguchi","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}