{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/4401-5698-philip-de-fries-vs-matt-mitrione","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/4401-5698-philip-de-fries-vs-matt-mitrione","generated_at":"2026-09-26T07:15:41.978Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":38291,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":4401,"name":{"full":"Philip De Fries","first":"Philip","last":"De Fries"},"record":{"wins":12,"losses":6,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":1,"winsByDec":1,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":77,"reach_inches":79,"weight_lbs":250,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":2.3,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3,"striking_accuracy":47},"grappling":{"takedown_average":3.29,"takedown_accuracy":42,"takedown_defense":100,"submission_average":0.6}},"profile":{"id":4401,"full_name":"Philip De Fries","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/6ef65b6a152e49d5","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/no-profile.png","physical":{"height_in":77,"height_cm":195,"weight_lb":250,"weight_kg":113,"reach_in":79,"reach_cm":200,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1986-04-21","age":40},"record":{"wins":12,"losses":6,"draws":0,"raw":"12-6-0 (1 NC)"},"career_stats":{"slpm":2.3,"str_acc":47,"sapm":3,"td_avg":3.29,"td_acc":42,"td_def":100,"sub_avg":0.6},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":38291,"event_name":"UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi","event_date":"2013-04-06T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Stockholm, Sweden","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":19,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5698,"full_name":"Matt Mitrione","first_name":"Matt","last_name":"Mitrione","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/matt-mitrione.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/matt-mitrione.png"}],"strikes_landed":0,"strikes_attempted":2,"strike_pct":0,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":2,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":38391,"event_name":"UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II","event_date":"2012-12-29T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":124,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5749,"full_name":"Todd Duffee","first_name":"Todd","last_name":"Duffee","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/todd-duffee.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/todd-duffee.png"}]},{"fight_id":38509,"event_name":"UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera","event_date":"2012-08-04T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Los Angeles, California, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":256,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6261,"full_name":"Oli Thompson","first_name":"Oli","last_name":"Thompson","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/oli-thompson.png"}],"strikes_landed":55,"strikes_attempted":109,"strike_pct":50,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":6,"td_pct":33,"ctrl_time_sec":364},{"fight_id":38676,"event_name":"UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger","event_date":"2012-02-15T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Omaha, Nebraska, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":43,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6092,"full_name":"Stipe Miocic","first_name":"Stipe","last_name":"Miocic","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/stipe-miocic.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/stipe-miocic.png"}],"strikes_landed":7,"strikes_attempted":18,"strike_pct":39,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":38783,"event_name":"UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz","event_date":"2011-11-05T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Birmingham, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Cardo Urso 28 - 29.Chris Watts 28 - 29.Rick Winter 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5386,"full_name":"Rob Broughton","first_name":"Rob","last_name":"Broughton","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/rob-broughton.png"}]}]},"fighter2":{"id":5698,"name":{"full":"Matt Mitrione","first":"Matt","last":"Mitrione"},"record":{"wins":12,"losses":5,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":8,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":5,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":75,"reach_inches":82,"weight_lbs":265,"stance":"Switch"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.55,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.79,"striking_accuracy":50},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0,"takedown_accuracy":0,"takedown_defense":55,"submission_average":0.7}},"profile":{"id":5698,"full_name":"Matt Mitrione","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/ba280572acfba13f","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/matt-mitrione.png","physical":{"height_in":75,"height_cm":190,"weight_lb":265,"weight_kg":120,"reach_in":82,"reach_cm":208,"stance":"Switch","dob":"1978-07-15","age":48},"record":{"wins":12,"losses":5,"draws":0,"raw":"12-5-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.55,"str_acc":50,"sapm":2.79,"td_avg":0,"td_acc":0,"td_def":55,"sub_avg":0.7},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":36997,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz","event_date":"2016-01-17T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Boston, Massachusetts, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head From Mount","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":249,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3381,"full_name":"Travis Browne","first_name":"Travis","last_name":"Browne","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/travis-browne.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/travis-browne.png"}],"strikes_landed":28,"strikes_attempted":62,"strike_pct":45,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":37288,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson","event_date":"2015-06-06T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"New Orleans, Louisiana, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Submission","details":"Guillotine Choke On Ground","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":114,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5743,"full_name":"Ben Rothwell","first_name":"Ben","last_name":"Rothwell","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ben-rothwell.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ben-rothwell.png"}],"strikes_landed":8,"strikes_attempted":21,"strike_pct":38,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":37508,"event_name":"UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic","event_date":"2014-12-13T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Phoenix, Arizona, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head In Clinch","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":119,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3167,"full_name":"Gabriel Gonzaga","first_name":"Gabriel","last_name":"Gonzaga","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/gabriel-gonzaga.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/gabriel-gonzaga.png"}]},{"fight_id":37653,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi","event_date":"2014-09-05T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Ledyard, Connecticut, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":41,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6122,"full_name":"Derrick Lewis","first_name":"Derrick","last_name":"Lewis","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/derrick-lewis.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/derrick-lewis.png"}],"strikes_landed":9,"strikes_attempted":13,"strike_pct":69,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":7},{"fight_id":37922,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway","event_date":"2014-03-01T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Macau, China","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head In Clinch","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":299,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5934,"full_name":"Shawn Jordan","first_name":"Shawn","last_name":"Jordan","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/shawn-jordan.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/shawn-jordan.png"}],"strikes_landed":25,"strikes_attempted":65,"strike_pct":38,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":21}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Matt Mitrione","difference":"54.3%","values":{"fighter1":2.3,"fighter2":3.55}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Philip De Fries","difference":null,"values":{"fighter1":3.29,"fighter2":0}},"defense":{"advantage":"Philip De Fries","difference":"81.8%","values":{"fighter1":100,"fighter2":55}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4401-philip-de-fries","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5698-matt-mitrione","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}