{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/4546-6389-ciryl-gane-vs-alex-pereira","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/4546-6389-ciryl-gane-vs-alex-pereira","generated_at":"2026-04-22T08:50:20.470Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":348,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":4546,"name":{"full":"Ciryl Gane","first":"Ciryl","last":"Gane"},"record":{"wins":13,"losses":2,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":4,"winsBySub":2,"winsByDec":4,"losses":2,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":76,"reach_inches":81,"weight_lbs":247,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":5.29,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.33,"striking_accuracy":61},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.68,"takedown_accuracy":25,"takedown_defense":47,"submission_average":0.6}},"profile":{"id":4546,"full_name":"Ciryl Gane","nickname":"Bon Gamin","page_nickname":"Bon Gamin","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/787bb1f087ccff8a","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ciryl-gane.png","physical":{"height_in":76,"height_cm":193,"weight_lb":247,"weight_kg":112,"reach_in":81,"reach_cm":205,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1990-04-12","age":36},"record":{"wins":13,"losses":2,"draws":0,"raw":"13-2-0 (1 NC)"},"career_stats":{"slpm":5.29,"str_acc":61,"sapm":2.33,"td_avg":0.68,"td_acc":25,"td_def":47,"sub_avg":0.6},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":271476,"event_name":"UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane","event_date":"2025-10-25T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":true,"result_code":"NC","method":"Could Not Continue","details":"Eye poke by Gane","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":275,"time_format":"5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3522,"full_name":"Tom Aspinall","first_name":"Tom","last_name":"Aspinall","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/tom-aspinall.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/tom-aspinall.png"}],"strikes_landed":30,"strikes_attempted":40,"strike_pct":75,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":32608,"event_name":"UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura","event_date":"2024-12-07T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - 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Dana White announced Poatan versus Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight title at the White House card, and now Pereira's hunting that third division championship. Meanwhile, Gane's coming off that weird no contest with Tom Aspinall at UFC 321 back in October, an eye poke that stopped what was shaping up to be a crazy title fight. Before that mess, Gane beat Alexander Volkov by split decision in December, showing he's still dangerous even if the finish wasn't there.\n\nHere's the thing, Pereira's been an absolute wrecking machine at 205. He knocked out Jamahal Hill, head kicked Jiri Prochazka into the shadow realm in round two at UFC 303, then starched Khalil Rountree in the fourth round. The only blemish was losing a decision to Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 313, but he got that belt right back with brutal elbows from half guard in the rematch. Now he's jumping up to heavyweight where Gane's been living, and that size difference is real.\n\nGane's got that slick Muay Thai background and moves like he's two weight classes lighter. He pieced up Serghei Spivac and Tai Tuivasa with those technical striking clinics in Paris. But Jon Jones guillotined him in just over two minutes when the belt was on the line at UFC 285, and that's the question mark. Can his speed and footwork keep Pereira's power at bay, or does Poatan's left hook find a home even against bigger bodies?\n\nTom Aspinall revealed earlier this year that his confidence took a serious hit after that no contest with Gane, admitting the eye poke situation messed with his head more than he expected. The heavyweight champ's comments add extra context to how dangerous Gane looked before that fight got stopped. The White House card announcement dropped in March with this fight officially set for the interim heavyweight title, making Pereira's move up even more significant. If Poatan wins, he becomes the first fighter ever to hold belts in three different UFC divisions.\n\nUPD (5th of April): Pereira went off on Melk Costa this week after Costa made some comments that clearly got under Poatan's skin. The usually calm Brazilian showed some rare anger in his response, adding extra fire to his fight week preparations.\n\nUPD (5th of April): With less than a month until the White House card, the MMA world is buzzing about whether Pereira's power translates up to heavyweight or if Gane's size and technical striking will be too much. This is the biggest what if fight of the year so far.","key_storylines":["Pereira chasing history as UFC's first three division champion","Gane's speed and movement against Poatan's terrifying power","Both strikers hunting the finish, zero wrestling expected"],"finishing_window":"If Pereira's gonna land that left hook or Gane's gonna break him down with volume, it's happening in rounds two and three when the reads are made and someone commits."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Ciryl Gane","difference":"2.5%","values":{"fighter1":5.29,"fighter2":5.16}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Ciryl Gane","difference":"518.2%","values":{"fighter1":0.68,"fighter2":0.11}},"defense":{"advantage":"Alex Pereira","difference":"68.1%","values":{"fighter1":47,"fighter2":79}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4546-ciryl-gane","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6389-alex-pereira","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}