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But here's the thing, that came right after Manel Kape knocked him out in their main event last March, so Almabayev knows what it feels like to get caught. Charles Johnson is coming off a split decision win over Bruno Silva in March, showing he can grind out tough fights when he needs to.\n\nThis matchup is all about Almabayev's grappling pressure against Johnson's switch stance striking. The Kazakh fighter put up crazy numbers in his win over Jose Johnson back in June 2024, landing 77 strikes and hitting 6 takedowns while controlling for over 11 minutes. Johnson proved he can crack though, sleeping Lone'er Kavanagh with a second round knockout in China last August. But he also got starched by Alex Perez in the first round this past January, the same guy Almabayev just choked out.\n\nAlmabayev's wrestling is relentless when he gets going, but Johnson's ability to switch stances keeps guys guessing. Johnson threw 189 strikes in that Bruno Silva fight, showing he's got the gas tank to keep firing. The question is whether he can keep this fight standing long enough to land something big, or if Almabayev drags him into deep water and finds a finish like he's done before.","key_storylines":["Almabayev bounced back from Kape knockout with Perez submission","Johnson's switch stance striking versus relentless Kazakh wrestling","Both fighters faced Alex Perez with wildly different results"],"finishing_window":"If Almabayev gets his hands locked, this could end suddenly in rounds two or three."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Charles Johnson","difference":"106.5%","values":{"fighter1":4.77,"fighter2":2.31}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Asu Almabayev","difference":"774.5%","values":{"fighter1":0.51,"fighter2":4.46}},"defense":{"advantage":"Charles Johnson","difference":"56.8%","values":{"fighter1":69,"fighter2":44}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4699-charles-johnson","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4916-asu-almabayev","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}