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The Polish southpaw from American Top Team is riding a brutal three fight skid, dropping decisions to Chris Duncan and Ludovit Klein before getting choked out by Grant Dawson back in May. That's a rough stretch for anyone, and now he's facing Kyle Prepolec, who's also desperate to turn things around after getting knocked out by Drew Dober and submitted by Benoit Saint Denis in his last two outings. Both guys are fighting for their UFC lives in Belgrade.\n\nHere's the thing though, Rebecki showed he can still compete at this level even in those losses. He landed 113 strikes against Klein and had three takedowns with over five minutes of control time. The dude can push a pace and make fights ugly when he needs to. Prepolec hasn't won since 2019, going 0 and 4 in the UFC with all four losses coming by finish or decision. That Dober knockout in Vancouver was nasty, caught him with punches at distance in the third round.\n\nThis matchup comes down to who can impose their game first. Rebecki's got the wrestling advantage if the stats tell us anything. He hit 75% of his takedowns against Myktybek Orolbai and controlled that fight for over two minutes. Prepolec struggled badly against BSD, landing zero takedowns and getting controlled before the arm triangle finished him. Both southpaws, both looking to salvage their UFC careers.\n\nThe stakes are simple. Lose here and you're probably getting cut. Win and you buy yourself another fight to climb back. That kind of pressure makes guys either fold or come out swinging.","key_storylines":["Rebecki desperately needs to snap three fight losing streak","Prepolec winless in UFC since 2019, fighting for roster spot","Battle of southpaws with everything on the line in Belgrade"],"finishing_window":"If Rebecki can't get this to the ground early, expect fireworks in the pocket where both guys know they need a finish."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Mateusz Rebecki","difference":"60.3%","values":{"fighter1":5.21,"fighter2":3.25}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Mateusz Rebecki","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":3.38,"fighter2":0}},"defense":{"advantage":"Mateusz Rebecki","difference":"11.1%","values":{"fighter1":50,"fighter2":45}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4753-mateusz-rebecki","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/4804-kyle-prepolec","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}