{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5013-6830-darren-elkins-vs-antonio-carvalho","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5013-6830-darren-elkins-vs-antonio-carvalho","generated_at":"2026-09-26T05:03:07.023Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":38308,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":5013,"name":{"full":"Darren Elkins","first":"Darren","last":"Elkins"},"record":{"wins":29,"losses":13,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":4,"winsBySub":3,"winsByDec":12,"losses":12,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":70,"reach_inches":71,"weight_lbs":145,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.39,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.34,"striking_accuracy":38},"grappling":{"takedown_average":2.86,"takedown_accuracy":33,"takedown_defense":56,"submission_average":1.1}},"profile":{"id":5013,"full_name":"Darren Elkins","nickname":"The Damage","page_nickname":"The Damage","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/92a9aa9c93192871","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/darren-elkins.png","physical":{"height_in":70,"height_cm":177,"weight_lb":145,"weight_kg":65,"reach_in":71,"reach_cm":180,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1984-05-16","age":42},"record":{"wins":29,"losses":13,"draws":0,"raw":"29-13-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.39,"str_acc":38,"sapm":3.34,"str_def":51,"td_avg":2.86,"td_acc":33,"td_def":56,"sub_avg":1.1},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":765969,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld","event_date":"2026-08-08T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":35,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4419,"full_name":"Yadier del Valle","first_name":"Yadier","last_name":"Valle","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/yadier-del-valle-profile.PNG","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/yadier-del-valle.png"}]},{"fight_id":32455,"event_name":"UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes","event_date":"2025-04-12T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Miami, Florida, USA","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":255,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4971,"full_name":"Julian Erosa","first_name":"Julian","last_name":"Erosa","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/julian-erosa.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/julian-erosa.png"}]},{"fight_id":32673,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira","event_date":"2024-10-19T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Ben Cartlidge 28 - 29.Junichiro Kamijo 28 - 29.Tony Weeks 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3460,"full_name":"Daniel Pineda","first_name":"Daniel","last_name":"Pineda","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/daniel-pineda.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/daniel-pineda.png"}],"strikes_landed":102,"strikes_attempted":170,"strike_pct":60,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":12,"td_pct":25,"ctrl_time_sec":393},{"fight_id":33174,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza","event_date":"2023-10-14T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":143,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6108,"full_name":"TJ Brown","first_name":"TJ","last_name":"Brown","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/tj-brown.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/tj-brown.png"}],"strikes_landed":95,"strikes_attempted":146,"strike_pct":65,"tds_landed":5,"tds_attempted":8,"td_pct":63,"ctrl_time_sec":489},{"fight_id":33639,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland","event_date":"2022-12-03T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Orlando, Florida, USA","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Eric Colon 27 - 30.Daniel Torres 27 - 30.Derek Cleary 26 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4816,"full_name":"Jonathan Pearce","first_name":"Jonathan","last_name":"Pearce","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jonathan-pearce.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jonathan-pearce.png"}]}]},"fighter2":{"id":6830,"name":{"full":"Antonio Carvalho","first":"Antonio","last":"Carvalho"},"record":{"wins":15,"losses":6,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":2,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":69,"reach_inches":70,"weight_lbs":145,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.03,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.62,"striking_accuracy":29},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0,"takedown_accuracy":0,"takedown_defense":100,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":6830,"full_name":"Antonio Carvalho","nickname":"Pato","page_nickname":"Pato","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/fef3d17e27e916e7","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/antonio-carvalho.png","physical":{"height_in":69,"height_cm":175,"weight_lb":145,"weight_kg":65,"reach_in":70,"reach_cm":177,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1979-05-30","age":47},"record":{"wins":15,"losses":6,"draws":0,"raw":"15-6-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.03,"str_acc":29,"sapm":3.62,"td_avg":0,"td_acc":0,"td_def":100,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":38308,"event_name":"UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz","event_date":"2013-03-16T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Montreal, Quebec, Canada","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":186,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5013,"full_name":"Darren Elkins","first_name":"Darren","last_name":"Elkins","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/darren-elkins.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/darren-elkins.png"}]},{"fight_id":38434,"event_name":"UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit","event_date":"2012-11-17T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Montreal, Quebec, Canada","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Split","details":"Tony Weeks 28 - 29.Cardo Urso 29 - 28.John Woodburn 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5270,"full_name":"Rodrigo Damm","first_name":"Rodrigo","last_name":"Damm","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/rodrigo-damm.png"}],"strikes_landed":48,"strikes_attempted":150,"strike_pct":32,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":38521,"event_name":"UFC 149: Faber vs Barao","event_date":"2012-07-21T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Calgary, Alberta, Canada","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head In Clinch","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":71,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3460,"full_name":"Daniel Pineda","first_name":"Daniel","last_name":"Pineda","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/daniel-pineda.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/daniel-pineda.png"}],"strikes_landed":10,"strikes_attempted":23,"strike_pct":43,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":3},{"fight_id":38722,"event_name":"UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes","event_date":"2012-01-14T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Rio de Janeiro, Brazil","weight_class":"Featherweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mark Collett 28 - 29.Howard Hughes 28 - 29.Marcos Rosales 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4427,"full_name":"Felipe Arantes","first_name":"Felipe","last_name":"Arantes","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/felipe-arantes.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/felipe-arantes.png"}],"strikes_landed":65,"strikes_attempted":185,"strike_pct":35,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":138}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Darren Elkins","difference":"11.9%","values":{"fighter1":3.39,"fighter2":3.03}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Darren Elkins","difference":null,"values":{"fighter1":2.86,"fighter2":0}},"defense":{"advantage":"Antonio Carvalho","difference":"78.6%","values":{"fighter1":56,"fighter2":100}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5013-darren-elkins","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6830-antonio-carvalho","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}