{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5023-5196-marco-tulio-vs-roman-kopylov","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5023-5196-marco-tulio-vs-roman-kopylov","generated_at":"2026-04-28T08:15:29.609Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":364,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":5023,"name":{"full":"Marco Tulio","first":"Marco","last":"Tulio"},"record":{"wins":14,"losses":2,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":2,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":0,"losses":1,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":72,"reach_inches":74,"weight_lbs":185,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":6.69,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.58,"striking_accuracy":58},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.42,"takedown_accuracy":26,"takedown_defense":0,"submission_average":0.3}},"profile":{"id":5023,"full_name":"Marco Tulio","nickname":"Matuto","page_nickname":"Matuto","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/9384e71bca6c409d","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/marco-tulio.png","physical":{"height_in":72,"height_cm":182,"weight_lb":185,"weight_kg":83,"reach_in":74,"reach_cm":187,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1994-06-13","age":31},"record":{"wins":14,"losses":2,"draws":0,"raw":"14-2-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":6.69,"str_acc":58,"sapm":2.58,"td_avg":1.42,"td_acc":26,"td_def":0,"sub_avg":0.3},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":288323,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown","event_date":"2025-11-08T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":200,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5407,"full_name":"Christian Leroy Duncan","first_name":"Christian","last_name":"Duncan","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/christian-leroy-duncan.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/christian-leroy-duncan.png"}],"strikes_landed":42,"strikes_attempted":75,"strike_pct":56,"tds_landed":2,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":40,"ctrl_time_sec":153},{"fight_id":32458,"event_name":"UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes","event_date":"2025-04-12T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Miami, Florida, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":196,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2852,"full_name":"Tresean Gore","first_name":"Tresean","last_name":"Gore","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/tresean-gore.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/tresean-gore.png"}]},{"fight_id":32586,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2","event_date":"2025-01-11T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":184,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3147,"full_name":"Ihor Potieria","first_name":"Ihor","last_name":"Potieria","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ihor-potieria.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ihor-potieria.png"}],"strikes_landed":34,"strikes_attempted":62,"strike_pct":55,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":26}]},"fighter2":{"id":5196,"name":{"full":"Roman Kopylov","first":"Roman","last":"Kopylov"},"record":{"wins":14,"losses":5,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":5,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":5,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":72,"reach_inches":75,"weight_lbs":185,"stance":"Southpaw"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":4.74,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":5.08,"striking_accuracy":50},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.02,"takedown_accuracy":42,"takedown_defense":87,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":5196,"full_name":"Roman Kopylov","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/9d83f6da776ff7d6","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/roman-kopylov.png","physical":{"height_in":72,"height_cm":182,"weight_lb":185,"weight_kg":83,"reach_in":75,"reach_cm":190,"stance":"Southpaw","dob":"1992-05-04","age":33},"record":{"wins":14,"losses":5,"draws":0,"raw":"14-5-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":4.74,"str_acc":50,"sapm":5.08,"td_avg":1.02,"td_acc":42,"td_def":87,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":296765,"event_name":"UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev","event_date":"2025-11-15T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"New York City, New York, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - 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The Russian southpaw's got serious power, but he's been figuring out life against the division's elite. Marco Tulio, though? Dude's been on a tear with two straight knockouts. He flatlined Ihor Potieria in under three minutes back in January, then slept Tresean Gore in April before Christian Leroy Duncan caught him with a punch in November. The Brazilian brings that Chute Boxe aggression, always hunting for the finish.\n\nHere's what makes this one interesting. Kopylov's southpaw stance and kickboxing background give him range and angles, but Tulio's orthodox pressure could force some wild exchanges. Both guys have proven they can crack, and neither one's looking to play it safe. Kopylov needs this win badly after those losses, while Tulio's trying to bounce back from that Duncan knockout and prove he belongs in the rankings conversation.\n\nThe technical battle comes down to whether Kopylov can use his movement and keep Tulio at the end of his kicks, or if the Brazilian can close distance and turn it into a phone booth war. Tulio showed decent wrestling against Duncan with those two takedowns, which could be a wrinkle Kopylov hasn't dealt with much lately. This feels like a fight where someone's getting hurt.\n\nUPD (5th of April): With fight week officially here in Newark, both middleweights are locked in and ready to throw down on May 9th at UFC 328, looking to make a statement in front of what should be a rowdy East Coast crowd.\n\nUPD (5th of April): This matchup pairs two legitimate knockout artists who've combined for three finishes in their last four wins, so expect fireworks when these guys finally step into the cage.","key_storylines":["Kopylov desperate to snap two fight skid against elite competition","Tulio hunting third knockout in four UFC appearances","Southpaw precision versus Brazilian pressure and power"],"finishing_window":"Expect fireworks in round two when both guys have their timing locked in but the gas tank's still full."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Marco Tulio","difference":"41.1%","values":{"fighter1":6.69,"fighter2":4.74}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Marco Tulio","difference":"39.2%","values":{"fighter1":1.42,"fighter2":1.02}},"defense":{"advantage":"Roman Kopylov","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":0,"fighter2":87}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5023-marco-tulio","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5196-roman-kopylov","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}