{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5049-18048-eric-mcconico-vs-donte-johnson","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5049-18048-eric-mcconico-vs-donte-johnson","generated_at":"2026-06-22T02:51:55.381Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":524,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":5049,"name":{"full":"Eric McConico","first":"Eric","last":"McConico"},"record":{"wins":11,"losses":4,"draws":1,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":2,"losses":2,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":72,"reach_inches":77,"weight_lbs":185,"stance":"Southpaw"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":2.61,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.23,"striking_accuracy":43},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0,"takedown_accuracy":0,"takedown_defense":64,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":5049,"full_name":"Eric McConico","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/9508cc6184cb2450","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/eric-mcconico.png","physical":{"height_in":72,"height_cm":182,"weight_lb":185,"weight_kg":83,"reach_in":77,"reach_cm":195,"stance":"Southpaw","dob":"1990-05-09","age":36},"record":{"wins":11,"losses":4,"draws":1,"raw":"11-4-1"},"career_stats":{"slpm":2.61,"str_acc":43,"sapm":3.23,"td_avg":0,"td_acc":0,"td_def":64,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":450689,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal","event_date":"2026-04-25T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Mike Bell 28 - 29.Adalaide Byrd 28 - 29.Derek Cleary 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3148,"full_name":"Rodolfo Vieira","first_name":"Rodolfo","last_name":"Vieira","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/rodolfo-vieira.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/rodolfo-vieira.png"}]},{"fight_id":296771,"event_name":"UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev","event_date":"2025-11-15T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"New York City, New York, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":98,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":17445,"full_name":"Baisangur Susurkaev","first_name":"Baisangur","last_name":"Susurkaev","profile_url":"https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/mma/players/full/5296753.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/baisangur-susurkaev.png"}],"strikes_landed":90,"strikes_attempted":150,"strike_pct":60,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":137},{"fight_id":179604,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez","event_date":"2025-08-09T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Split","details":"Ben Cartlidge 28 - 29.Chris Lee 30 - 27.Tony Weeks 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6605,"full_name":"Cody Brundage","first_name":"Cody","last_name":"Brundage","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/cody-brundage.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/cody-brundage.png"}]},{"fight_id":32540,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song","event_date":"2025-02-22T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Seattle, Washington, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":33,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3785,"full_name":"Nursulton Ruziboev","first_name":"Nursulton","last_name":"Ruziboev","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/nursulton-ruziboev.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/nursulton-ruziboev.png"}],"strikes_landed":6,"strikes_attempted":16,"strike_pct":38,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0}]},"fighter2":{"id":18048,"name":{"full":"Donte Johnson","first":"Donte","last":"Johnson"},"record":{"wins":8,"losses":0,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":1,"winsByDec":1,"losses":0,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":68,"reach_inches":74,"weight_lbs":185,"stance":"Southpaw"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.34,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":1.87,"striking_accuracy":64},"grappling":{"takedown_average":6.01,"takedown_accuracy":100,"takedown_defense":80,"submission_average":2}},"profile":{"id":18048,"full_name":"Donte Johnson","page_nickname":"Lock Jaw","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/ad5cb64af10fc946","profile_url":"https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/mma/players/full/5302831.png","physical":{"height_in":68,"height_cm":172,"weight_lb":185,"weight_kg":83,"reach_in":74,"reach_cm":187,"stance":"Southpaw","dob":"1999-01-25","age":27},"record":{"wins":8,"losses":0,"draws":0,"raw":"8-0-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.34,"str_acc":64,"sapm":1.87,"td_avg":6.01,"td_acc":100,"td_def":80,"sub_avg":2},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":381810,"event_name":"UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2","event_date":"2026-03-07T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Split","details":"Derek Cleary 28 - 29.Junichiro Kamijo 29 - 28.Tony Weeks 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6605,"full_name":"Cody Brundage","first_name":"Cody","last_name":"Brundage","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/cody-brundage.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/cody-brundage.png"}],"strikes_landed":84,"strikes_attempted":146,"strike_pct":58,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":212},{"fight_id":279899,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama","event_date":"2025-11-01T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Guillotine Choke On Ground","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":85,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3870,"full_name":"Sedriques Dumas","first_name":"Sedriques","last_name":"Dumas","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/sedriques-dumas.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/sedriques-dumas.png"}],"strikes_landed":18,"strikes_attempted":27,"strike_pct":67,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":184}]}},"ai_analysis":{"teaser":{"main_analysis":"Two southpaws looking to climb back into contention after some rough patches. Donte \"Lock Jaw\" Johnson's been on a nice little run lately, choking out Sedriques Dumas with a slick guillotine back in November, then grinding out a split decision over Cody Brundage in March. That guillotine was nasty, caught it on the ground in round two and Dumas had no choice but to tap. Meanwhile, Eric McConico just got back in the win column with a unanimous decision over Rodolfo Vieira in April, which is huge after getting knocked out by Baisangur Susurkaev and Nursulton Ruziboev in back to back fights. Those losses were brutal, both by punches to the head.\n\nHere's the thing about this matchup. Johnson's shown he can win fights multiple ways. He's got that grappling threat that keeps guys honest, went 3 for 3 on takedowns against Dumas before locking in that choke. But he can also bang, landed 84 strikes in that Brundage fight while eating some shots himself in a close one. McConico's more of a volume striker, put up 90 strikes against Susurkaev before getting caught late in round three. The problem is he's been getting hit clean, and when you're facing a guy nicknamed Lock Jaw, that guillotine is always lurking.\n\nBoth guys need this one bad. Johnson's trying to prove he belongs in the middleweight mix, while McConico's looking to string together wins and forget about those knockout losses. Whoever can impose their game first is walking out with momentum.","key_storylines":["Johnson's guillotine threat versus McConico's striking volume","McConico trying to avoid another knockout loss","Two southpaws battling for middleweight relevance"],"finishing_window":"If this fight hits the second round, that's when Johnson starts hunting for the neck and McConico needs to stay sharp or risk getting caught."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Donte Johnson","difference":"28.0%","values":{"fighter1":2.61,"fighter2":3.34}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Donte Johnson","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":0,"fighter2":6.01}},"defense":{"advantage":"Donte Johnson","difference":"25.0%","values":{"fighter1":64,"fighter2":80}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5049-eric-mcconico","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/18048-donte-johnson","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}