{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5328-5393-carlston-harris-vs-jake-matthews","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5328-5393-carlston-harris-vs-jake-matthews","generated_at":"2026-08-21T19:24:11.068Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":528905,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":5328,"name":{"full":"Carlston Harris","first":"Carlston","last":"Harris"},"record":{"wins":19,"losses":7,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":2,"winsByDec":1,"losses":4,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":72,"reach_inches":76,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.79,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.46,"striking_accuracy":43},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.46,"takedown_accuracy":22,"takedown_defense":55,"submission_average":0.6}},"profile":{"id":5328,"full_name":"Carlston Harris","nickname":"Mocambique","page_nickname":"Mocambique","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/a53d30163304aa6e","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/carlston-harris.png","physical":{"height_in":72,"height_cm":182,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":76,"reach_cm":193,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1987-07-09","age":39},"record":{"wins":19,"losses":7,"draws":0,"raw":"19-7-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.79,"str_acc":43,"sapm":3.46,"td_avg":1.46,"td_acc":22,"td_def":55,"sub_avg":0.6},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":528905,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo","event_date":"2026-05-30T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Macau, China","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Luke Hill 25 - 30.David Lethaby 27 - 30.Clemens Werner 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5393,"full_name":"Jake Matthews","first_name":"Jake","last_name":"Matthews","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jake-matthews.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jake-matthews.png"}],"strikes_landed":40,"strikes_attempted":88,"strike_pct":45,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":27},{"fight_id":32580,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2","event_date":"2025-01-11T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":193,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4359,"full_name":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","first_name":"Santiago","last_name":"Ponzinibbio","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/santiago-ponzinibbio.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/santiago-ponzinibbio.png"}],"strikes_landed":78,"strikes_attempted":211,"strike_pct":37,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":5,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":17},{"fight_id":32885,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy","event_date":"2024-05-18T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":90,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3142,"full_name":"Khaos Williams","first_name":"Khaos","last_name":"Williams","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/khaos-williams.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/khaos-williams.png"}],"strikes_landed":14,"strikes_attempted":30,"strike_pct":47,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":0},{"fight_id":33280,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font","event_date":"2023-08-05T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Nashville, Tennessee, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Anaconda Choke On Ground","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":110,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6162,"full_name":"Jeremiah Wells","first_name":"Jeremiah","last_name":"Wells","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jeremiah-wells.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jeremiah-wells.png"}]},{"fight_id":33518,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili","event_date":"2023-03-11T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Eric Colon 27 - 30.Junichiro Kamijo 27 - 30.Bryan Miner 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5890,"full_name":"Jared Gooden","first_name":"Jared","last_name":"Gooden","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jared-gooden.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/jared-gooden.png"}],"strikes_landed":140,"strikes_attempted":194,"strike_pct":72,"tds_landed":5,"tds_attempted":12,"td_pct":42,"ctrl_time_sec":578}]},"fighter2":{"id":5393,"name":{"full":"Jake Matthews","first":"Jake","last":"Matthews"},"record":{"wins":22,"losses":8,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":6,"winsByDec":9,"losses":8,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":71,"reach_inches":73,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.34,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.62,"striking_accuracy":43},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.44,"takedown_accuracy":41,"takedown_defense":64,"submission_average":0.8}},"profile":{"id":5393,"full_name":"Jake Matthews","nickname":"The Celtic Kid","page_nickname":"The Celtic Kid","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/a845f0735bc67405","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jake-matthews.png","physical":{"height_in":71,"height_cm":180,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":73,"reach_cm":185,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1994-08-19","age":32},"record":{"wins":22,"losses":8,"draws":0,"raw":"22-8-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.34,"str_acc":43,"sapm":2.62,"td_avg":1.44,"td_acc":41,"td_def":64,"sub_avg":0.8},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":528905,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo","event_date":"2026-05-30T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Macau, China","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Luke Hill 25 - 30.David Lethaby 27 - 30.Clemens Werner 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5328,"full_name":"Carlston Harris","first_name":"Carlston","last_name":"Harris","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/carlston-harris.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/carlston-harris.png"}],"strikes_landed":109,"strikes_attempted":173,"strike_pct":63,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":570},{"fight_id":229571,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes","event_date":"2025-09-27T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Perth, Western Australia, Australia","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Submission","details":"D'Arce Choke From Half Guard","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":188,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4757,"full_name":"Neil Magny","first_name":"Neil","last_name":"Magny","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/neil-magny-profile.PNG","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/neil-magny.png"}]},{"fight_id":146522,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira","event_date":"2025-07-12T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Nashville, Tennessee, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Rear Naked Choke","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":69,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5879,"full_name":"Chidi Njokuani","first_name":"Chidi","last_name":"Njokuani","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/chidi-njokuani.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/chidi-njokuani.png"}],"strikes_landed":5,"strikes_attempted":9,"strike_pct":56,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":29},{"fight_id":32558,"event_name":"UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2","event_date":"2025-02-08T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Sydney, New South Wales, Australia","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Sal D'amato 27 - 30.Charlie Keech 27 - 30.Clemens Werner 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3511,"full_name":"Francisco Prado","first_name":"Francisco","last_name":"Prado","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/francisco-prado.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/francisco-prado.png"}],"strikes_landed":95,"strikes_attempted":215,"strike_pct":44,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":40},{"fight_id":32880,"event_name":"UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier","event_date":"2024-06-01T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Newark, New Jersey, USA","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Jon Bilyk 28 - 29.Maimunah Querido 28 - 29.Adrian Castro 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4932,"full_name":"Phil Rowe","first_name":"Phil","last_name":"Rowe","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/phil-rowe-profile.PNG","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/phil-rowe.png"}]}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Carlston Harris","difference":"13.5%","values":{"fighter1":3.79,"fighter2":3.34}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Carlston Harris","difference":"1.4%","values":{"fighter1":1.46,"fighter2":1.44}},"defense":{"advantage":"Jake Matthews","difference":"16.4%","values":{"fighter1":55,"fighter2":64}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5328-carlston-harris","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5393-jake-matthews","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}