{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5348-17275-ryan-spann-vs-marcus-buchecha","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/5348-17275-ryan-spann-vs-marcus-buchecha","generated_at":"2026-04-16T21:32:33.043Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":421,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":5348,"name":{"full":"Ryan Spann","first":"Ryan","last":"Spann"},"record":{"wins":23,"losses":11,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":3,"winsBySub":4,"winsByDec":2,"losses":6,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":77,"reach_inches":79,"weight_lbs":205,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":3.19,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":4.14,"striking_accuracy":39},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.3,"takedown_accuracy":34,"takedown_defense":52,"submission_average":1.8}},"profile":{"id":5348,"full_name":"Ryan Spann","nickname":"Superman","page_nickname":"Superman","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/a67f5afa8d6a1b80","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ryan-spann.png","physical":{"height_in":77,"height_cm":195,"weight_lb":205,"weight_kg":92,"reach_in":79,"reach_cm":200,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1991-08-24","age":34},"record":{"wins":23,"losses":11,"draws":0,"raw":"23-11-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":3.19,"str_acc":39,"sapm":4.14,"td_avg":1.3,"td_acc":34,"td_def":52,"sub_avg":1.8},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":154776,"event_name":"UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3","event_date":"2025-07-19T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"New Orleans, Louisiana, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Guillotine Choke Standing","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":167,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2732,"full_name":"Lukasz Brzeski","first_name":"Lukasz","last_name":"Brzeski","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/lukasz-brzeski.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/lukasz-brzeski.png"}],"strikes_landed":8,"strikes_attempted":19,"strike_pct":42,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":134},{"fight_id":32503,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2","event_date":"2025-03-15T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head From Guard","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":288,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6778,"full_name":"Waldo Cortes-Acosta","first_name":"Waldo","last_name":"Cortes-Acosta","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/waldo-cortes-acosta.png","hero_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/waldo-2.png"}],"strikes_landed":24,"strikes_attempted":87,"strike_pct":28,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":2,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":5},{"fight_id":32701,"event_name":"UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.","event_date":"2024-10-05T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Salt Lake City, Utah, USA","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Guillotine Choke Standing","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":95,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3903,"full_name":"Ovince Saint Preux","first_name":"Ovince","last_name":"Saint Preux","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ovince-saint-preux.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/ovince-saint-preux.png"}],"strikes_landed":9,"strikes_attempted":20,"strike_pct":45,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":3},{"fight_id":32922,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez","event_date":"2024-04-27T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head From Guard","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":196,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6577,"full_name":"Bogdan Guskov","first_name":"Bogdan","last_name":"Guskov","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/bogdan-guskov.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/bogdan-guskov.png"}]},{"fight_id":33236,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie","event_date":"2023-08-26T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Kallang, Singapore","weight_class":"Light Heavyweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - 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Spann just reminded everyone he's got that submission game, catching Lukasz Brzeski in a standing guillotine back in July. That was vintage Superman, making it look easy at 2:47 of the first round. Meanwhile, Buchecha just went to war with Kennedy Nzechukwu in December and walked away with a draw after three rounds of back and forth action. Before that, he dropped a decision to Martin Buday in Abu Dhabi.\n\nHere's the thing about Buchecha. The dude's a legendary BJJ guy making the transition to MMA, and you can see it in his fights. Against Nzechukwu, he landed 47 of 66 strikes and got three takedowns, showing he's getting more comfortable mixing it up. But Spann's no joke on the ground either. That standing guillotine he hit on Brzeski? Same finish he got against Ovince Saint Preux at UFC 307. Two guillotines in his last three fights tells you everything about his grappling instincts.\n\nThe danger for Spann is getting caught on the bottom. Waldo Cortes Acosta finished him with ground and pound in March, and Bogdan Guskov did the same thing back in April 2024. If Buchecha can get this fight to the mat and establish position, things could get scary. But Superman's got that fight ending power in his squeeze, and heavyweights only need one moment.","key_storylines":["Spann hunting for his third straight standing guillotine finish","Buchecha's BJJ pedigree finally translating to MMA success","Both guys dangerous on the ground in totally different ways"],"finishing_window":"If this hits the mat in the first two rounds, someone's getting finished."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Ryan Spann","difference":"87.6%","values":{"fighter1":3.19,"fighter2":1.7}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Marcus Buchecha","difference":"53.8%","values":{"fighter1":1.3,"fighter2":2}},"defense":{"advantage":"Ryan Spann","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":52,"fighter2":0}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/5348-ryan-spann","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/17275-marcus-buchecha","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}