{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/6499-17497-ismael-bonfim-vs-axel-sola","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/6499-17497-ismael-bonfim-vs-axel-sola","generated_at":"2026-05-18T12:24:18.089Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","confidence_level":"HIGH"},"fight":{"id":484,"status":"upcoming","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":6499,"name":{"full":"Ismael Bonfim","first":"Ismael","last":"Bonfim"},"record":{"wins":20,"losses":6,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":1,"losses":3,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":68,"reach_inches":71,"weight_lbs":155,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":5.51,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.71,"striking_accuracy":54},"grappling":{"takedown_average":1.06,"takedown_accuracy":33,"takedown_defense":76,"submission_average":0}},"profile":{"id":6499,"full_name":"Ismael Bonfim","nickname":"Marreta","page_nickname":"Marreta","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/eb393afdbe3293d5","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/ismael-bonfim.png","physical":{"height_in":68,"height_cm":172,"weight_lb":155,"weight_kg":70,"reach_in":71,"reach_cm":180,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1995-12-28","age":30},"record":{"wins":20,"losses":6,"draws":0,"raw":"20-6-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":5.51,"str_acc":54,"sapm":3.71,"td_avg":1.06,"td_acc":33,"td_def":76,"sub_avg":0},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":288322,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown","event_date":"2025-11-08T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head On Ground","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":270,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":2645,"full_name":"Chris Padilla","first_name":"Chris","last_name":"Padilla","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/chris-padilla-profile.PNG","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/chris-padilla.png"}],"strikes_landed":47,"strikes_attempted":89,"strike_pct":53,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":33,"ctrl_time_sec":15},{"fight_id":32545,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues","event_date":"2025-02-15T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Lightweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"TKO - 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The Brazilian came in hot with that nasty flying knee knockout over Terrance McKinney at UFC 283 in Rio, but things have gone sideways since. He's dropped three straight, including back to back TKO losses to Nazim Sadykhov and Chris Padilla. That's the kind of skid that gets you cut, and he knows it. Sola's sitting at 1-1 in the UFC after dropping a decision to Mason Jones in London but bounced back with a sick body shot finish against Rhys McKee in Paris last September.\n\nHere's the thing though. Bonfim's still dangerous as hell when he's on. That McKinney knockout showed he's got serious power, and when he beat Vinc Pichel at UFC 301, he landed 112 strikes and controlled the pace for three rounds. The dude can fight, he just needs to put it together. Sola's the southpaw who likes to work the body, and that finish over McKee proved he can crack. He's patient, picks his shots, and isn't afraid to grind when he needs to.\n\nThis is a must win situation for both guys, but especially Bonfim. Another loss and he's probably done in the UFC. Sola's looking to build momentum and crack into the lightweight rankings. Fans are wondering if we'll see the confident Bonfim who starched McKinney or the guy who's been getting stopped lately. It's a classic crossroads fight where someone's UFC future is on the line.","key_storylines":["Bonfim fighting for his UFC life on three fight skid","Sola's body work could be the difference maker","Brazilian needs that Rio knockout form back desperately"],"finishing_window":"If Bonfim's gonna turn it around, he needs to come out aggressive early before Sola settles in and starts breaking down the body."},"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Ismael Bonfim","difference":"35.4%","values":{"fighter1":5.51,"fighter2":4.07}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Axel Sola","difference":"109.4%","values":{"fighter1":1.06,"fighter2":2.22}},"defense":{"advantage":"Ismael Bonfim","difference":"Infinity%","values":{"fighter1":76,"fighter2":0}}},"prediction_factors":["Statistical analysis","Fighting style matchup","Recent performance trends","Physical advantages","Historical data patterns"]},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6499-ismael-bonfim","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/17497-axel-sola","all_articles":"https://agentmma.com/articles"}}