{"meta":{"type":"UFC_FIGHT_PREDICTION","url":"https://agentmma.com/articles/6728-6801-jorge-santiago-vs-gunnar-nelson","canonical":"https://agentmma.com/articles/6728-6801-jorge-santiago-vs-gunnar-nelson","generated_at":"2026-09-26T05:54:34.565Z","data_source":"AgentMMA AI","prediction_access":"public_preview"},"fight":{"id":38340,"status":"completed","type":"MMA","organization":"UFC"},"fighters":{"fighter1":{"id":6728,"name":{"full":"Jorge Santiago","first":"Jorge","last":"Santiago"},"record":{"wins":25,"losses":12,"draws":0,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":1,"winsBySub":0,"winsByDec":0,"losses":5,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":73,"reach_inches":75,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Orthodox"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":1.69,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":2.62,"striking_accuracy":35},"grappling":{"takedown_average":0.58,"takedown_accuracy":30,"takedown_defense":52,"submission_average":0.8}},"profile":{"id":6728,"full_name":"Jorge Santiago","nickname":"The Sandman","page_nickname":"The Sandman","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/f8dc544e7077d014","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/jorge-santiago.png","physical":{"height_in":73,"height_cm":185,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":75,"reach_cm":190,"stance":"Orthodox","dob":"1980-10-09","age":45},"record":{"wins":25,"losses":12,"draws":0,"raw":"25-12-0"},"career_stats":{"slpm":1.69,"str_acc":35,"sapm":2.62,"td_avg":0.58,"td_acc":30,"td_def":52,"sub_avg":0.8},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":38340,"event_name":"UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald","event_date":"2013-02-16T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"London, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Aaron Chatfield 28 - 29.Andy Roberts 28 - 29.Chris Lee 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6801,"full_name":"Gunnar Nelson","first_name":"Gunnar","last_name":"Nelson","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/gunnar-nelson.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/gunnar-nelson.png"}],"strikes_landed":52,"strikes_attempted":134,"strike_pct":39,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":0,"ctrl_time_sec":12},{"fight_id":38803,"event_name":"UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3","event_date":"2011-10-08T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Houston, Texas, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Nelson Hamilton 27 - 30.Dan Mathisen 27 - 30.Charles Phillips 27 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3654,"full_name":"Demian Maia","first_name":"Demian","last_name":"Maia","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/demian-maia.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/demian-maia.png"}],"strikes_landed":29,"strikes_attempted":70,"strike_pct":41,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":29},{"fight_id":38925,"event_name":"UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill","event_date":"2011-05-28T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punch to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":269,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4019,"full_name":"Brian Stann","first_name":"Brian","last_name":"Stann","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/brian-stann.png"}],"strikes_landed":16,"strikes_attempted":45,"strike_pct":36,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":2,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":15},{"fight_id":39877,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs","event_date":"2006-12-13T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"San Diego, California, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Kick to Head At Distance","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":165,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3635,"full_name":"Alan Belcher","first_name":"Alan","last_name":"Belcher","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/alan-belcher.png"}],"strikes_landed":24,"strikes_attempted":69,"strike_pct":35,"tds_landed":0,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":0,"ctrl_time_sec":145},{"fight_id":39934,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night 6","event_date":"2006-08-17T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Las Vegas, Nevada, USA","weight_class":"Middleweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"KO/TKO","details":"Punches to Head At Distance","finish_round":2,"finish_time_sec":35,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6129,"full_name":"Chris Leben","first_name":"Chris","last_name":"Leben","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/chris-leben.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/chris-leben.png"}],"strikes_landed":10,"strikes_attempted":16,"strike_pct":63,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":1,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":70}]},"fighter2":{"id":6801,"name":{"full":"Gunnar Nelson","first":"Gunnar","last":"Nelson"},"record":{"wins":19,"losses":6,"draws":1,"win_methods":{"winsByKO":0,"winsBySub":8,"winsByDec":2,"losses":6,"draws":0}},"physical":{"height_inches":71,"reach_inches":72,"weight_lbs":170,"stance":"Switch"},"stats":{"striking":{"strikes_landed_per_min":1.77,"strikes_absorbed_per_min":3.06,"striking_accuracy":61},"grappling":{"takedown_average":2,"takedown_accuracy":52,"takedown_defense":68,"submission_average":1}},"profile":{"id":6801,"full_name":"Gunnar Nelson","nickname":"Gunni","page_nickname":"Gunni","url":"http://ufcstats.com/fighter-details/fd55393021a8c255","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/gunnar-nelson.png","physical":{"height_in":71,"height_cm":180,"weight_lb":170,"weight_kg":77,"reach_in":72,"reach_cm":182,"stance":"Switch","dob":"1988-07-28","age":38},"record":{"wins":19,"losses":6,"draws":1,"raw":"19-6-1"},"career_stats":{"slpm":1.77,"str_acc":61,"sapm":3.06,"td_avg":2,"td_acc":52,"td_def":68,"sub_avg":1},"is_parody":false,"strengths":[],"weaknesses":[],"next_fight":null,"news":[],"recent_fights":[]},"recent_fights":[{"fight_id":32486,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady","event_date":"2025-03-22T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"London, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Darryl Ransom 28 - 29.David Lethaby 28 - 29.Anders Ohlsson 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3533,"full_name":"Kevin Holland","first_name":"Kevin","last_name":"Holland","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/kevin-holland.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/kevin-holland.png"}]},{"fight_id":33493,"event_name":"UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3","event_date":"2023-03-18T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"London, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Submission","details":"Armbar From Mount","finish_round":1,"finish_time_sec":291,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":5297,"full_name":"Bryan Barberena","first_name":"Bryan","last_name":"Barberena","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/bryan-barberena.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/bryan-barberena.png"}],"strikes_landed":20,"strikes_attempted":21,"strike_pct":95,"tds_landed":1,"tds_attempted":2,"td_pct":50,"ctrl_time_sec":193},{"fight_id":34008,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall","event_date":"2022-03-19T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"London, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"W","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"David Lethaby 26 - 30.Anders Ohlsson 26 - 30.Paul Sutherland 26 - 30.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":4875,"full_name":"Takashi Sato","first_name":"Takashi","last_name":"Sato","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/takashi-sato.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/takashi-sato.png"}],"strikes_landed":140,"strikes_attempted":166,"strike_pct":84,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":3,"td_pct":100,"ctrl_time_sec":489},{"fight_id":35206,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier","event_date":"2019-09-28T01:00:00+01:00","location_raw":"Copenhagen, Denmark","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Unanimous","details":"Thomas Knudsen 28 - 29.Maciej Motylewski 28 - 29.Paul Sutherland 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":3103,"full_name":"Gilbert Burns","first_name":"Gilbert","last_name":"Burns","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/gilbert-burns.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/gilbert-burns.png"}]},{"fight_id":35498,"event_name":"UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal","event_date":"2019-03-16T00:00:00Z","location_raw":"London, England, United Kingdom","weight_class":"Welterweight","is_title_fight":false,"result_code":"L","method":"Decision - Split","details":"Howard Hughes 29 - 28.Anders Ohlsson 27 - 29.Andy Roberts 28 - 29.","finish_round":3,"finish_time_sec":300,"time_format":"3 Rnd (5-5-5)","opponents":[{"fighter_id":6617,"full_name":"Leon Edwards","first_name":"Leon","last_name":"Edwards","profile_url":"https://assets.agentmma.com/leon-edwards.png","hero_url":"https://hero.agentmma.com/leon-edwards.png"}],"strikes_landed":27,"strikes_attempted":38,"strike_pct":71,"tds_landed":3,"tds_attempted":4,"td_pct":75,"ctrl_time_sec":263}]}},"ai_analysis":{"access":"public_preview","teaser":null,"advantages":{"striking":{"advantage":"Gunnar Nelson","difference":"4.7%","values":{"fighter1":1.69,"fighter2":1.77}},"grappling":{"advantage":"Gunnar Nelson","difference":"244.8%","values":{"fighter1":0.58,"fighter2":2}},"defense":{"advantage":"Gunnar Nelson","difference":"30.8%","values":{"fighter1":52,"fighter2":68}}}},"related_links":{"fighter1_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6728-jorge-santiago","fighter2_profile":"https://agentmma.com/fighters/6801-gunnar-nelson","all_predictions":"https://agentmma.com/predictions"}}