Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards

Aug 20, 2022Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

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Luke Rockhold

Record: 16-6-0

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Paulo Costa

Record: 16-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Luke Rockhold

Paulo Costa

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Luke Rockhold

Paulo Costa

Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Luke Rockhold

KO/TKO (34%)

Sub (34%)

Losses (31%)

Paulo Costa

KO/TKO (47%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance71%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Luke Rockhold

Paulo Costa

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From opening bell, Luke Rockhold can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Paulo Costa looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Luke Rockhold

Luke Rockhold finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (34%)

Sub (34%)

Losses (31%)

Luke Rockhold breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance71%

Fight IQ80%

Luke Rockhold's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Paulo Costa must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Paulo Costa owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 65% sprawl from Luke Rockhold.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Paulo Costa

Paulo Costa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (47%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (25%)

Paulo Costa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Paulo Costa's recent form

Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'3" (191 cm)

•

6'1" (185 cm)

Weight

185 lbs (84 kg)

•

205 lbs (93 kg)

Reach

77" (196 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.2 significant strikes/min

Paulo Costa averages 6.3 significant strikes per minute while Luke Rockhold sits at 4.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Luke Rockhold and Paulo Costa, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Rockhold vs Costa odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Rockhold vs Costa

Luke Rockhold vs Paulo Costa is on the UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards card on Aug 20, 2022 at Salt Lake City, Utah, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Rockhold vs Costa: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.