Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Oct 11, 2025Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

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Michael Jr.

Record: 11-5-0

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Lucas Almeida

Record: 15-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael Jr.

Lucas Almeida

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael Jr.

Lucas Almeida

Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Michael Jr.

KO/TKO (57%)

Losses (43%)

Lucas Almeida

KO/TKO (30%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense53%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Michael Jr.

Lucas Almeida

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From opening bell, Michael Jr. can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 7.6 significant strikes per minute while Lucas Almeida looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Michael Jr.

Michael Jr. finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (57%)

Losses (43%)

Michael Jr. breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Michael Jr.'s recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Lucas Almeida must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Michael Jr. brings the more polished entries (25%) while Lucas Almeida relies on defensive frames (53%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Lucas Almeida

Lucas Almeida finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (30%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (40%)

Lucas Almeida breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense53%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Lucas Almeida's recent form

Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.7 significant strikes/min

Michael Jr. averages 7.6 significant strikes per minute while Lucas Almeida sits at 4.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Michael Jr. and Lucas Almeida, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Jr. vs Almeida odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Jr. vs Almeida

Michael Jr. vs Lucas Almeida is on the UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot card on Oct 11, 2025 at Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Jr. vs Almeida: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.