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UFC Fight Night
Dec 5, 2026• In 40 daysRiyadh, Saudi Arabia
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Uran Satybaldiev 2.1 SLpM, Ivan Gnizditskiy —
  • Striking Accuracy: Uran Satybaldiev 25%, Ivan Gnizditskiy —
  • Damage Avoidance: Uran Satybaldiev 3.7 abs/min, Ivan Gnizditskiy —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Uran Satybaldiev —, Ivan Gnizditskiy —
  • Takedown Defense: Uran Satybaldiev 50%, Ivan Gnizditskiy —
  • Submission Threat: Uran Satybaldiev 1.7 per 15m, Ivan Gnizditskiy —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Uran Satybaldiev
Ivan Gnizditskiy

Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Uran Satybaldiev
1-1UFC Record
Sub (67%)
Losses (33%)
Ivan Gnizditskiy
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy25%
Grappling Efficiency62%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

N/A

Last Opponents

Uran Satybaldiev
Ivan Gnizditskiy

An Ezekiel choke from guard is the sort of finish that makes you rewind, and Uran Satybaldiev pulled it off against Diyar Nurgozhay in round 1. Now he gets Ivan Gnizditskiy in Riyadh, an unbeaten new UFC signing who makes this matchup interesting before anyone throws a punch. That Nurgozhay win came after Satybaldiev lost a unanimous decision to Martin Buday, so these recent results offer two very different pictures to chew on.

Key Storylines
  • That guard choke against Nurgozhay makes every ground exchange interesting.
  • Ivan Gnizditskiy brings an unbeaten record into a fresh UFC assignment.
  • A 79 inch reach puts distance control firmly in focus.
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in round 1, as the first committed entries test distance control and reactions at close range.

He has gone the distance in defeat and found a nasty submission early, but neither result tells us exactly how this meeting will play out. Here's the thing: Satybaldiev has a 79 inch reach and fights orthodox, which gives us a clear place to start watching the exchanges on the feet. Can he make Gnizditskiy cover ground before getting close, or does the newcomer force him into crowded exchanges where that reach matters less?

If they hit the mat, the Nurgozhay finish is a reminder that sitting inside Satybaldiev's guard still means dealing with an active threat and protecting your neck through every positional change. For Satybaldiev, the question is whether he can build on that last win; for Gnizditskiy, it's how his unbeaten run translates to this UFC assignment. The fun is in watching who gets comfortable first when distance gives way to contact.

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Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy Stats Comparison

Age
32
•
30
Height
6'4" (193 cm)
•
—
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
•
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
79" (201 cm)
•
—
Stance
Orthodox
•
—
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.1 significant strikes/min

Uran Satybaldiev averages 2.1 significant strikes per minute while Ivan Gnizditskiy sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Uran Satybaldiev and Ivan Gnizditskiy, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Satybaldiev vs Gnizditskiy odds

Live Polymarket odds for Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Satybaldiev vs Gnizditskiy

Uran Satybaldiev vs Ivan Gnizditskiy is on the UFC Fight Night card on Dec 5, 2026 at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Satybaldiev vs Gnizditskiy: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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