Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo

UFC 78: Validation

Nov 17, 2007Newark, New Jersey, USA

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Marcus Aurelio

Record: 22-10-0

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Luke Caudillo

Record: 17-17-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Marcus Aurelio

Luke Caudillo

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Marcus Aurelio

Luke Caudillo

Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Marcus Aurelio

KO/TKO (30%)

Sub (30%)

Losses (40%)

Luke Caudillo

Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense27%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy28%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense85%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Marcus Aurelio

Luke Caudillo

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From opening bell, Marcus Aurelio can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.4 significant strikes per minute while Luke Caudillo looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Marcus Aurelio

Marcus Aurelio finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (30%)

Sub (30%)

Losses (40%)

Marcus Aurelio breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense27%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Marcus Aurelio's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Luke Caudillo must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Marcus Aurelio brings the more polished entries (27%) while Luke Caudillo relies on defensive frames (85%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Luke Caudillo

Luke Caudillo finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Luke Caudillo breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy28%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense85%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Luke Caudillo's recent form

Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

74" (188 cm)

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—

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.6 significant strikes/min

Luke Caudillo averages 2.0 significant strikes per minute while Marcus Aurelio sits at 1.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Marcus Aurelio and Luke Caudillo, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Aurelio vs Caudillo odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Aurelio vs Caudillo

Marcus Aurelio vs Luke Caudillo is on the UFC 78: Validation card on Nov 17, 2007 at Newark, New Jersey, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Aurelio vs Caudillo: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.