Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley

UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar

Nov 15, 2008Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Jorge Gurgel

Record: 14-10-0

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Aaron Riley

Record: 30-14-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jorge Gurgel

Aaron Riley

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jorge Gurgel

Aaron Riley

Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jorge Gurgel

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Aaron Riley

Decision (60%)

Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy32%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy34%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Jorge Gurgel

Aaron Riley

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From opening bell, Jorge Gurgel can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Aaron Riley looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jorge Gurgel

Jorge Gurgel finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Jorge Gurgel breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy32%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ70%

Jorge Gurgel's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Aaron Riley must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Aaron Riley owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (34%) but must solve the 60% sprawl from Jorge Gurgel.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Aaron Riley

Aaron Riley finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (60%)

Losses (40%)

Aaron Riley breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy34%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Aaron Riley's recent form

Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jorge Gurgel and Aaron Riley, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Gurgel vs Riley odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Gurgel vs Riley

Jorge Gurgel vs Aaron Riley is on the UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar card on Nov 15, 2008 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Gurgel vs Riley: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.