Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov

Feb 1, 2025Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

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Lucas Alexander

Record: 8-5-0

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Bogdan Grad

Record: 16-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Lucas Alexander

Bogdan Grad

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Lucas Alexander

Bogdan Grad

Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Lucas Alexander

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Bogdan Grad

KO/TKO (33%)

Sub (33%)

Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense75%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Lucas Alexander

Bogdan Grad

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From opening bell, Lucas Alexander can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Bogdan Grad looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Lucas Alexander

Lucas Alexander finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Lucas Alexander breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ80%

Lucas Alexander's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Bogdan Grad must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Bogdan Grad owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (40%) but must solve the 60% sprawl from Lucas Alexander.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Bogdan Grad

Bogdan Grad finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (33%)

Sub (33%)

Losses (33%)

Bogdan Grad breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense75%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Bogdan Grad's recent form

Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.6 significant strikes/min

Lucas Alexander averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Bogdan Grad sits at 4.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Lucas Alexander and Bogdan Grad, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Alexander vs Grad odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Alexander vs Grad

Lucas Alexander vs Bogdan Grad is on the UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov card on Feb 1, 2025 at Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Alexander vs Grad: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.