Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch

UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann

Feb 22, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Rafaello Oliveira

Record: 17-8-0

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Erik Koch

Record: 16-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rafaello Oliveira

Erik Koch

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rafaello Oliveira

Erik Koch

Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Rafaello Oliveira

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Erik Koch

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (13%)

Decision (27%)

Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense11%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency47%

Takedown Defense81%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Rafaello Oliveira

Erik Koch

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From opening bell, Rafaello Oliveira can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.2 significant strikes per minute while Erik Koch looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Rafaello Oliveira

Rafaello Oliveira finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Rafaello Oliveira breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense11%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Rafaello Oliveira's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Erik Koch must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Erik Koch owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (42%) but must solve the 11% sprawl from Rafaello Oliveira.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Erik Koch

Erik Koch finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (13%)

Decision (27%)

Losses (33%)

Erik Koch breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency47%

Takedown Defense81%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Erik Koch's recent form

Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Rafaello Oliveira and Erik Koch, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Oliveira vs Koch odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Oliveira vs Koch

Rafaello Oliveira vs Erik Koch is on the UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann card on Feb 22, 2014 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Oliveira vs Koch: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.