Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira

Oct 19, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Matheus Nicolau

Record: 19-6-1

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Asu Almabayev

Record: 24-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Matheus Nicolau

Asu Almabayev

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Matheus Nicolau

Asu Almabayev

Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Matheus Nicolau

KO/TKO (10%)

Sub (10%)

Decision (52%)

Losses (27%)

Asu Almabayev

Sub (38%)

Decision (51%)

Losses (11%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency48%

Takedown Defense90%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency56%

Takedown Defense44%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Matheus Nicolau

Asu Almabayev

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From opening bell, Matheus Nicolau can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Asu Almabayev looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Matheus Nicolau

Matheus Nicolau finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (10%)

Sub (10%)

Decision (52%)

Losses (27%)

Matheus Nicolau breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency48%

Takedown Defense90%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ90%

Matheus Nicolau's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Asu Almabayev must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matheus Nicolau brings the more polished entries (43%) while Asu Almabayev relies on defensive frames (44%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:3

Asu Almabayev

Asu Almabayev finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (38%)

Decision (51%)

Losses (11%)

Asu Almabayev breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency56%

Takedown Defense44%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ90%

Asu Almabayev's recent form

Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'6" (168 cm)

•

5'4" (163 cm)

Weight

125 lbs (57 kg)

•

125 lbs (57 kg)

Reach

66" (168 cm)

•

65" (165 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Matheus Nicolau averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Asu Almabayev sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Matheus Nicolau and Asu Almabayev, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nicolau vs Almabayev odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Nicolau vs Almabayev

Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev is on the UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira card on Oct 19, 2024 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nicolau vs Almabayev: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.