Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story

UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Aug 20, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Donald Cerrone

Record: 36-17-0

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Rick Story

Record: 19-9-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Donald Cerrone

Rick Story

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Donald Cerrone

Rick Story

Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Donald Cerrone

KO/TKO (32%)

Sub (19%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (27%)

No Contest (1)

Rick Story

KO/TKO (12%)

Sub (12%)

Decision (49%)

Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency54%

Takedown Defense73%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency58%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Donald Cerrone

Rick Story

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From opening bell, Donald Cerrone can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.4 significant strikes per minute while Rick Story looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Donald Cerrone

Donald Cerrone finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (32%)

Sub (19%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (27%)

No Contest (1)

Donald Cerrone breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency54%

Takedown Defense73%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Donald Cerrone's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Rick Story must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Rick Story owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (48%) but must solve the 73% sprawl from Donald Cerrone.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Rick Story

Rick Story finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (12%)

Sub (12%)

Decision (49%)

Losses (27%)

Rick Story breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency58%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Rick Story's recent form

Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.6 significant strikes/min

Donald Cerrone averages 4.4 significant strikes per minute while Rick Story sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Donald Cerrone and Rick Story, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Cerrone vs Story odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Cerrone vs Story

Donald Cerrone vs Rick Story is on the UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 card on Aug 20, 2016 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Cerrone vs Story: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.