Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee

Jul 15, 2015San Diego, California, USA

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Tony Ferguson

Record: 26-11-0

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Josh Thomson

Record: 22-9-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tony Ferguson

Josh Thomson

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tony Ferguson

Josh Thomson

Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tony Ferguson

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (29%)

Decision (29%)

Losses (27%)

Josh Thomson

KO/TKO (42%)

Decision (21%)

Losses (36%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency56%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Tony Ferguson

Josh Thomson

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From opening bell, Tony Ferguson can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.9 significant strikes per minute while Josh Thomson looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Tony Ferguson

Tony Ferguson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (29%)

Decision (29%)

Losses (27%)

Tony Ferguson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency56%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Tony Ferguson's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Josh Thomson must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Josh Thomson owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (39%) but must solve the 66% sprawl from Tony Ferguson.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Josh Thomson

Josh Thomson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (42%)

Decision (21%)

Losses (36%)

Josh Thomson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ80%

Josh Thomson's recent form

Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

76" (193 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.3 significant strikes/min

Tony Ferguson averages 4.9 significant strikes per minute while Josh Thomson sits at 2.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tony Ferguson and Josh Thomson, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Ferguson vs Thomson odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Ferguson vs Thomson

Tony Ferguson vs Josh Thomson is on the UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee card on Jul 15, 2015 at San Diego, California, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Ferguson vs Thomson: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.