Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen

UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields

Apr 30, 2011Toronto, Ontario, Canada

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Jason MacDonald

Record: 25-16-0

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Ryan Jensen

Record: 21-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jason MacDonald

Ryan Jensen

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jason MacDonald

Ryan Jensen

Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jason MacDonald

KO/TKO (21%)

Sub (42%)

Losses (36%)

Ryan Jensen

Sub (57%)

Losses (43%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense35%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense31%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Jason MacDonald

Ryan Jensen

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From opening bell, Jason MacDonald can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.6 significant strikes per minute while Ryan Jensen looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jason MacDonald

Jason MacDonald finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (21%)

Sub (42%)

Losses (36%)

Jason MacDonald breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense35%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Jason MacDonald's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Ryan Jensen must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Ryan Jensen owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 35% sprawl from Jason MacDonald.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Ryan Jensen

Ryan Jensen finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (57%)

Losses (43%)

Ryan Jensen breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense31%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Ryan Jensen's recent form

Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'3" (191 cm)

•

6'1" (185 cm)

Weight

185 lbs (84 kg)

•

185 lbs (84 kg)

Reach

80" (203 cm)

•

76" (193 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.3 significant strikes/min

Ryan Jensen averages 2.8 significant strikes per minute while Jason MacDonald sits at 1.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jason MacDonald and Ryan Jensen, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

MacDonald vs Jensen odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch MacDonald vs Jensen

Jason MacDonald vs Ryan Jensen is on the UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields card on Apr 30, 2011 at Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for MacDonald vs Jensen: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.