Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman

UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez

Dec 12, 2009Memphis, Tennessee, USA

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Shane Nelson

Record: 16-7-0

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Matt Wiman

Record: 16-10-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Shane Nelson

Matt Wiman

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Shane Nelson

Matt Wiman

Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Shane Nelson

KO/TKO (33%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (33%)

Matt Wiman

KO/TKO (14%)

Sub (21%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (31%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy31%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency48%

Takedown Defense56%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Shane Nelson

Matt Wiman

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From opening bell, Shane Nelson can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.4 significant strikes per minute while Matt Wiman looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Shane Nelson

Shane Nelson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (33%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (33%)

Shane Nelson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy31%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ80%

Shane Nelson's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Matt Wiman must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matt Wiman owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (37%) but must solve the 54% sprawl from Shane Nelson.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Matt Wiman

Matt Wiman finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (14%)

Sub (21%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (31%)

Matt Wiman breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency48%

Takedown Defense56%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ70%

Matt Wiman's recent form

Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

70" (178 cm)

•

68" (173 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.8 significant strikes/min

Matt Wiman averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Shane Nelson sits at 1.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Shane Nelson and Matt Wiman, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nelson vs Wiman odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Nelson vs Wiman

Shane Nelson vs Matt Wiman is on the UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez card on Dec 12, 2009 at Memphis, Tennessee, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nelson vs Wiman: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.