Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum

Mar 11, 2017Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

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Paulo Costa

Record: 16-4-0

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Garreth McLellan

Record: 13-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Paulo Costa

Garreth McLellan

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Paulo Costa

Garreth McLellan

Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Paulo Costa

KO/TKO (47%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (25%)

Garreth McLellan

KO/TKO (56%)

Losses (44%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense34%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Paulo Costa

Garreth McLellan

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From opening bell, Paulo Costa can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 6.3 significant strikes per minute while Garreth McLellan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:2

Paulo Costa

Paulo Costa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (47%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (25%)

Paulo Costa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Paulo Costa's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Garreth McLellan must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Paulo Costa brings the more polished entries (50%) while Garreth McLellan relies on defensive frames (34%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Garreth McLellan

Garreth McLellan finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (56%)

Losses (44%)

Garreth McLellan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense34%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Garreth McLellan's recent form

Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

6'1" (185 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

185 lbs (84 kg)

Reach

72" (183 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.7 significant strikes/min

Paulo Costa averages 6.3 significant strikes per minute while Garreth McLellan sits at 3.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Paulo Costa and Garreth McLellan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Costa vs McLellan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Costa vs McLellan

Paulo Costa vs Garreth McLellan is on the UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum card on Mar 11, 2017 at Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Costa vs McLellan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.