Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes

UFC 40: Vendetta

Nov 22, 2002Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Gil Castillo

Record: 8-5-0

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Matt Hughes

Record: 45-9-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Gil Castillo

Matt Hughes

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Gil Castillo

Matt Hughes

Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Gil Castillo

Decision (60%)

Losses (40%)

Matt Hughes

KO/TKO (26%)

Sub (22%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (22%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%

Grappling Efficiency68%

Takedown Defense35%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Gil Castillo

Matt Hughes

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From opening bell, Gil Castillo can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 0.6 significant strikes per minute while Matt Hughes looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Gil Castillo

Gil Castillo finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (60%)

Losses (40%)

Gil Castillo breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Gil Castillo's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Matt Hughes must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matt Hughes owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 50% sprawl from Gil Castillo.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Matt Hughes

Matt Hughes finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (26%)

Sub (22%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (22%)

Matt Hughes breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%

Grappling Efficiency68%

Takedown Defense35%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ95%

Matt Hughes's recent form

Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

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5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

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170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

—

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73" (185 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

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Switch

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.5 significant strikes/min

Matt Hughes averages 2.1 significant strikes per minute while Gil Castillo sits at 0.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Gil Castillo and Matt Hughes, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Castillo vs Hughes odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Castillo vs Hughes

Gil Castillo vs Matt Hughes is on the UFC 40: Vendetta card on Nov 22, 2002 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Castillo vs Hughes: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.