Thiago Alves vs Tim Means

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik

Dec 7, 2019Washington, DC, USA

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Thiago Alves

Record: 23-15-0

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Tim Means

Record: 33-17-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Thiago Alves

Tim Means

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Thiago Alves

Tim Means

Thiago Alves vs Tim Means AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Thiago Alves vs Tim Means

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Thiago Alves

KO/TKO (32%)

Sub (5%)

Decision (32%)

Losses (31%)

Tim Means

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (9%)

Decision (32%)

Losses (32%)

No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency65%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Thiago Alves

Tim Means

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From opening bell, Thiago Alves can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Tim Means looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Thiago Alves

Thiago Alves finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (32%)

Sub (5%)

Decision (32%)

Losses (31%)

Thiago Alves breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency65%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ70%

Thiago Alves's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Tim Means must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Thiago Alves brings the more polished entries (60%) while Tim Means relies on defensive frames (64%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Tim Means

Tim Means finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (9%)

Decision (32%)

Losses (32%)

No Contest (1)

Tim Means breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ70%

Tim Means's recent form

Thiago Alves vs Tim Means Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

6'2" (188 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

70" (178 cm)

•

75" (191 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Thiago Alves vs Tim Means AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.3 significant strikes/min

Tim Means averages 5.0 significant strikes per minute while Thiago Alves sits at 3.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Thiago Alves and Tim Means, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Thiago Alves vs Tim Means.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Alves vs Means odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Thiago Alves vs Tim Means, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Alves vs Means

Thiago Alves vs Tim Means is on the UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik card on Dec 7, 2019 at Washington, DC, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Alves vs Means: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.