Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

Oct 5, 2024Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

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Tecia Pennington

Record: 15-8-0

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Carla Esparza

Record: 20-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tecia Pennington

Carla Esparza

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tecia Pennington

Carla Esparza

Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tecia Pennington

Sub (6%)

Decision (64%)

Losses (30%)

Carla Esparza

KO/TKO (7%)

Sub (7%)

Decision (58%)

Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense62%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense47%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Tecia Pennington

Carla Esparza

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From opening bell, Tecia Pennington can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Carla Esparza looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Tecia Pennington

Tecia Pennington finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (6%)

Decision (64%)

Losses (30%)

Tecia Pennington breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense62%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ75%

Tecia Pennington's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Carla Esparza must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Carla Esparza owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (36%) but must solve the 62% sprawl from Tecia Pennington.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Carla Esparza

Carla Esparza finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (7%)

Sub (7%)

Decision (58%)

Losses (27%)

Carla Esparza breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense47%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ80%

Carla Esparza's recent form

Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'1" (155 cm)

•

5'1" (155 cm)

Weight

115 lbs (52 kg)

•

115 lbs (52 kg)

Reach

60" (152 cm)

•

63" (160 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

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Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.5 significant strikes/min

Tecia Pennington averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Carla Esparza sits at 2.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tecia Pennington and Carla Esparza, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Pennington vs Esparza odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Pennington vs Esparza

Tecia Pennington vs Carla Esparza is on the UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. card on Oct 5, 2024 at Salt Lake City, Utah, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Pennington vs Esparza: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.