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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady
Nov 7, 2026In 45 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Keiichiro Nakamura 4.5 SLpM, Ollie Schmid —
  • Striking Accuracy: Keiichiro Nakamura 41%, Ollie Schmid —
  • Damage Avoidance: Keiichiro Nakamura 4.3 abs/min, Ollie Schmid —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Keiichiro Nakamura —, Ollie Schmid —
  • Takedown Defense: Keiichiro Nakamura 78%, Ollie Schmid —
  • Submission Threat: Keiichiro Nakamura —, Ollie Schmid —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Keiichiro Nakamura
Ollie Schmid

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Keiichiro Nakamura
1-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (100%)
Ollie Schmid
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense78%
Cardio & Endurance85%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Keiichiro Nakamura
Ollie Schmid

There’s a nasty little question on this card: how does Ollie Schmid respond to getting stopped when Keiichiro Nakamura is coming off a stoppage of his own? Schmid was caught by punches at distance in his last recorded fight. Nakamura ended his last one with a knee to the head at distance, which makes every step into range feel important. Schmid is the taller orthodox fighter, with a slight edge in reach.

Key Storylines
  • Schmid returns after punches at distance stopped his last fight.
  • Nakamura’s last fight ended with a knee to the head.
  • Orthodox meets southpaw, with a small reach difference to navigate.
Finishing Window

The opening exchanges could break things open if either man misreads the opposite stance while stepping into range.

Nakamura is a southpaw, so the angle of their exchanges changes before either man even throws. You can see why Schmid might want room to settle into his work, but Nakamura’s last finish is a reminder that space can disappear in a hurry. Keep an eye on their lead feet when they meet in the middle. If Schmid steps in without finding his angle, Nakamura has shown how quickly a strike can interrupt the plan; if Nakamura rushes, Schmid gets a chance to use his range.

Neither single result tells us what happens if they wrestle or how either man handles a long, messy fight, and that uncertainty is part of the fun. Both are unranked, and each has a reason to make people pay attention: Schmid wants to answer a rough night, while Nakamura wants to build on that finish. It might look measured at first, but one bad read on the feet could change the whole mood.

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Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid Stats Comparison

Age
27
25
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
6'0" (183 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
71" (180 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid AI Analysis

Pace delta

+4.5 significant strikes/min

Keiichiro Nakamura averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Ollie Schmid sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Keiichiro Nakamura and Ollie Schmid, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nakamura vs Schmid odds

Live Polymarket odds for Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Nakamura vs Schmid

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid is on the UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady card on Nov 7, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nakamura vs Schmid: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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