Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale

Apr 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Daniel Pineda

Record: 28-17-0

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Justin Lawrence

Record: 10-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Daniel Pineda

Justin Lawrence

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Daniel Pineda

Justin Lawrence

Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Daniel Pineda

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (51%)

Losses (36%)

No Contest (1)

Justin Lawrence

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense73%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Daniel Pineda

Justin Lawrence

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From opening bell, Daniel Pineda can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.9 significant strikes per minute while Justin Lawrence looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Daniel Pineda

Daniel Pineda finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (51%)

Losses (36%)

No Contest (1)

Daniel Pineda breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Daniel Pineda's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Justin Lawrence must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Justin Lawrence owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (28%) but must solve the 54% sprawl from Daniel Pineda.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Justin Lawrence

Justin Lawrence finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Justin Lawrence breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense73%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Justin Lawrence's recent form

Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

67" (170 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Justin Lawrence averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Daniel Pineda sits at 2.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Daniel Pineda and Justin Lawrence, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Pineda vs Lawrence odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Pineda vs Lawrence

Daniel Pineda vs Justin Lawrence is on the The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale card on Apr 13, 2013 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Pineda vs Lawrence: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.