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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Sep 28, 2024Paris, Ile-de-France, France
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Vince Morales 3.6 SLpM, Taylor Lapilus 4.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Vince Morales 37%, Taylor Lapilus 48%
  • Damage Avoidance: Vince Morales 4.0 abs/min, Taylor Lapilus 2.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Vince Morales 40%, Taylor Lapilus 33%
  • Takedown Defense: Vince Morales 58%, Taylor Lapilus 77%
  • Submission Threat: Vince Morales 0.5 per 15m, Taylor Lapilus 0.3 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Vince Morales
Taylor Lapilus

Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Vince Morales
3-9UFC Record
KO/TKO (19%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (43%)
Taylor Lapilus
6-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (13%)
Decision (67%)
Losses (20%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense58%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense77%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Vince Morales
Taylor Lapilus

From opening bell, Vince Morales can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Taylor Lapilus looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus Stats Comparison

Age
35
•
34
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
•
73" (185 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Taylor Lapilus averages 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Vince Morales sits at 3.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Vince Morales and Taylor Lapilus, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Morales vs Lapilus odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Morales vs Lapilus

Vince Morales vs Taylor Lapilus is on the UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis card on Sep 28, 2024 at Paris, Ile-de-France, France. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Morales vs Lapilus: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events