Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum

UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis

Dec 10, 2016Toronto, Ontario, Canada

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Tim Kennedy

Record: 18-6-0

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Kelvin Gastelum

Record: 21-11-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tim Kennedy

Kelvin Gastelum

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tim Kennedy

Kelvin Gastelum

Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tim Kennedy

KO/TKO (24%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (29%)

Kelvin Gastelum

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (10%)

Decision (45%)

Losses (30%)

No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Tim Kennedy

Kelvin Gastelum

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From opening bell, Tim Kennedy can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.8 significant strikes per minute while Kelvin Gastelum looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Tim Kennedy

Tim Kennedy finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (24%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (29%)

Tim Kennedy breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ85%

Tim Kennedy's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Kelvin Gastelum must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Tim Kennedy brings the more polished entries (35%) while Kelvin Gastelum relies on defensive frames (60%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Kelvin Gastelum

Kelvin Gastelum finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (10%)

Decision (45%)

Losses (30%)

No Contest (1)

Kelvin Gastelum breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Kelvin Gastelum's recent form

Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

185 lbs (84 kg)

•

185 lbs (84 kg)

Reach

74" (188 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.9 significant strikes/min

Kelvin Gastelum averages 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Tim Kennedy sits at 2.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tim Kennedy and Kelvin Gastelum, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Kennedy vs Gastelum odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Kennedy vs Gastelum

Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum is on the UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis card on Dec 10, 2016 at Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Kennedy vs Gastelum: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.