Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Feb 24, 2024Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

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Mateus Mendonca

Record: 10-3-0

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Jesus Aguilar

Record: 12-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mateus Mendonca

Jesus Aguilar

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mateus Mendonca

Jesus Aguilar

Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Mateus Mendonca

Losses (100%)

Jesus Aguilar

KO/TKO (17%)

Sub (17%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (30%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense48%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Mateus Mendonca

Jesus Aguilar

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From opening bell, Mateus Mendonca can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.7 significant strikes per minute while Jesus Aguilar looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Mateus Mendonca

Mateus Mendonca finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Mateus Mendonca breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Mateus Mendonca's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Jesus Aguilar must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Jesus Aguilar owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (31%) but must solve the 55% sprawl from Mateus Mendonca.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Jesus Aguilar

Jesus Aguilar finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (17%)

Sub (17%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (30%)

Jesus Aguilar breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense48%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Jesus Aguilar's recent form

Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'6" (168 cm)

•

5'4" (163 cm)

Weight

125 lbs (57 kg)

•

125 lbs (57 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

62" (157 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Jesus Aguilar averages 2.6 significant strikes per minute while Mateus Mendonca sits at 1.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Mateus Mendonca and Jesus Aguilar, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Mendonca vs Aguilar odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Mendonca vs Aguilar

Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Aguilar is on the UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 card on Feb 24, 2024 at Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Mendonca vs Aguilar: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.