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UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Oct 19, 2013Houston, Texas, USA
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Dustin Pague 1.6 SLpM, Kyoji Horiguchi 3.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Dustin Pague 53%, Kyoji Horiguchi 47%
  • Damage Avoidance: Dustin Pague 3.0 abs/min, Kyoji Horiguchi 2.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Dustin Pague 44%, Kyoji Horiguchi 40%
  • Takedown Defense: Dustin Pague 55%, Kyoji Horiguchi 61%
  • Submission Threat: Dustin Pague 2.6 per 15m, Kyoji Horiguchi 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Dustin Pague
Kyoji Horiguchi

Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Dustin Pague
1-5UFC Record
Sub (55%)
Losses (45%)
Kyoji Horiguchi
9-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (19%)
Sub (9%)
Decision (56%)
Losses (15%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%
Grappling Efficiency49%
Takedown Defense55%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense61%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Dustin Pague
Kyoji Horiguchi

From opening bell, Dustin Pague can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.6 significant strikes per minute while Kyoji Horiguchi looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi Stats Comparison

Age
39
•
35
Height
5'9" (175 cm)
•
5'4" (163 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
•
63" (160 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.0 significant strikes/min

Kyoji Horiguchi averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Dustin Pague sits at 1.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Dustin Pague and Kyoji Horiguchi, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Pague vs Horiguchi odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Pague vs Horiguchi

Dustin Pague vs Kyoji Horiguchi is on the UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 card on Oct 19, 2013 at Houston, Texas, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Pague vs Horiguchi: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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