Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Apr 20, 2019Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia

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Keita Nakamura

Record: 34-10-2

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Sultan Aliev

Record: 15-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Keita Nakamura

Sultan Aliev

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Keita Nakamura

Sultan Aliev

Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Keita Nakamura

Sub (31%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (39%)

Sultan Aliev

Decision (67%)

Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%

Grappling Efficiency58%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Keita Nakamura

Sultan Aliev

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From opening bell, Keita Nakamura can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.2 significant strikes per minute while Sultan Aliev looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Keita Nakamura

Keita Nakamura finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (31%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (39%)

Keita Nakamura breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%

Grappling Efficiency58%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Keita Nakamura's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Sultan Aliev must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Keita Nakamura brings the more polished entries (48%) while Sultan Aliev relies on defensive frames (100%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Sultan Aliev

Sultan Aliev finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (67%)

Losses (33%)

Sultan Aliev breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ95%

Sultan Aliev's recent form

Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

74" (188 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.8 significant strikes/min

Keita Nakamura averages 2.2 significant strikes per minute while Sultan Aliev sits at 1.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Keita Nakamura and Sultan Aliev, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nakamura vs Aliev odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Nakamura vs Aliev

Keita Nakamura vs Sultan Aliev is on the UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik card on Apr 20, 2019 at Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nakamura vs Aliev: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.