Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly

UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson

Feb 21, 2009London, England, United Kingdom

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Troy Mandaloniz

Record: 3-2-0

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Paul Kelly

Record: 14-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Troy Mandaloniz

Paul Kelly

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Troy Mandaloniz

Paul Kelly

Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Troy Mandaloniz

KO/TKO (67%)

Losses (33%)

Paul Kelly

KO/TKO (14%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (31%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%

Grappling Efficiency66%

Takedown Defense57%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency65%

Takedown Defense30%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Troy Mandaloniz

Paul Kelly

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From opening bell, Troy Mandaloniz can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.5 significant strikes per minute while Paul Kelly looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Troy Mandaloniz

Troy Mandaloniz finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (67%)

Losses (33%)

Troy Mandaloniz breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%

Grappling Efficiency66%

Takedown Defense57%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Troy Mandaloniz's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Paul Kelly must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Troy Mandaloniz brings the more polished entries (66%) while Paul Kelly relies on defensive frames (30%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Paul Kelly

Paul Kelly finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (14%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (31%)

Paul Kelly breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency65%

Takedown Defense30%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Paul Kelly's recent form

Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

—

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Troy Mandaloniz averages 3.5 significant strikes per minute while Paul Kelly sits at 3.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Troy Mandaloniz and Paul Kelly, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Mandaloniz vs Kelly odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Mandaloniz vs Kelly

Troy Mandaloniz vs Paul Kelly is on the UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson card on Feb 21, 2009 at London, England, United Kingdom. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Mandaloniz vs Kelly: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.